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Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
19. Demographics and perception will play a larger role than policy positions.
Tue Feb 19, 2019, 05:14 PM
Feb 2019

Midwesterners and New Englanders will hurt one another in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Many Bernie fans seem to love Warren but dislike Harris, even though the latter 2 have the same voting record. That has to do with race and perception.

Votes won't be split over policy positions so much as over demographics (race, sex, region, etc.) and perception of policy positions.

Sanders is wholly reliant on Iowa and New Hampshire. So is Klobuchar. So are Warren and Biden. And Brown. Disappointing finishes will effectively end campaigns. Others can more easily bounce back from early defeats.

In addition to not having any more caucuses, we should start with states that actually reflect our electorate.

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