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In reply to the discussion: Alan Dershowitz accused of having sex with victim of billionaire's pedophile ring [View all]Cicada
(4,533 posts)I used to make about a third of my income betting after work. In five years I never had a losing month. I reported all my income on my tax returns. I stopped when congress outlawed various kinds of on line betting. A key principle in betting is to give great weight to base rates. Bayes theorem can be a good reason to deviate from that but that does not apply here. Has Dershowitz ever been accused of anything else like this? No. In addition consider a second client in this matter also represented by Mr Cassell. She claims to have video tapes of both Bill and Hillary Cinton, separately, having sex with children. Is there evidence Dershowitz and Giuffre were ever in the same building? No. Any evidence they ever met? No. If we traffic in baseless conspiracy theories then we undercut our own arguments that conservatives are lunatics. To preserve our credibility we should be reluctant to make similar baseless claims. We should be very slow to make such charges because one mistake on our part will undercut our claims against conservatives. Accusing Dershowitz is a dumb move.