General Discussion

John Fante

(3,479 posts)

13. Trump winning with 46% was the mother of all flukes.

Reply to Laura PourMeADrink (Original post)

Sun May 5, 2019, 11:03 PM

May 2019

The only way he wins with 45% of the vote is if the Democratic candidate gets under 48%. That is unlikely to happen.

Keep in mind that McCain captured just under 46% of the vote in 2008...and didn't come close to winning. Romney captured 47% (more than Trump)... and didn't come close to winning.

Trump isn't even close to a 46% poll average anyway - this is just one poll. Chill.

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Trump at 46% approval. They say he can win with 45% (approval rating) ! If something happens [View all] Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 OP

Trump could win at 45% or less if a left wing candidate achieved sufficient popularity tymorial May 2019 #1

I call BS ProudLib72 May 2019 #3

Call BS all you want. Clinton won with 43%. tymorial May 2019 #46

Three where running in that year demosincebirth May 2019 #62

Let me fix that... backscatter712 May 2019 #41

What conservadem milkeetoast you have in mind? emmaverybo May 2019 #57

He can win with 20% Tiggeroshii May 2019 #2

No, he can't win with 20%. TwilightZone May 2019 #15

Yes he can technically (link provided) Tiggeroshii May 2019 #20

That's pure fantasy Polybius May 2019 #36

That's true. Tiggeroshii May 2019 #43

well one could win with just 10 votes as well dsc May 2019 #42

I like that one. TwilightZone May 2019 #72

Context is important. TwilightZone May 2019 #67

With Russia's help in 2020 he can win with 10%, 2020 wont be more Free / Fair than 2016 uponit7771 May 2019 #22

I'm hoping we will have China on our side in 2020... Joe941 May 2019 #27

It's tough accepting what has been going on. I HOPE Mueller steps up, but not Hoyt May 2019 #4

Plenty of people TheFarseer May 2019 #5

Ha. What Maher said...run Anthony Weiner Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #9

He isn't vercetti2021 May 2019 #6

Chuck Todd today on MTP. I called bullshit too..but Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #11

There is no way in hell vercetti2021 May 2019 #18

He is just borrowing money to make everything Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #32

Lending will halt when debt becomes at140 May 2019 #61

Trump and the media keep beating the drums for the economy NewJeffCT May 2019 #33

All perfect points. If you watch the trump documentary Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #38

Wait Until Gas Prices Start Pinching ProfessorGAC May 2019 #50

This poll is probably an outlier and Barr probably cannot stop Mueller from testifying standingtall May 2019 #7

Harris too. Is that who NBC allied with. Saw Harris poll Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #12

The Harvard caps Harris poll standingtall May 2019 #21

+1, thx for this ... I with to HELL ... 538 and RCP would stop front paging those bullshit ass'd ... uponit7771 May 2019 #23

The Hill and Gallup also have him at 46%. former9thward May 2019 #47

The Hill poll is the same as the Harris poll that's why it is called Hill/HarrisX poll standingtall May 2019 #48

So four polls are trash. former9thward May 2019 #60

I said the NBC poll was an outlier as compared to other NBC polls standingtall May 2019 #63

Funny that when people like the results, former9thward May 2019 #64

Get back to me when the next 2 or 3 NBC polls have Trump with a 46 percent approval rating standingtall May 2019 #65

Gotta claim Gallup outlier too now. So Harris, NBC, Gallup all at 46 Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #74

And the leaking ain't over. nt emmaverybo May 2019 #58

Big Belly Barr kinda had to say oh yeah sure no problem to let Bob testify. It would of looked very UniteFightBack May 2019 #8

He's been so sensitive to appearing biased so far right? Baconator May 2019 #29

If Barr actually meant that, it would mean bad news for us. Ligyron May 2019 #34

Relax folks calguy May 2019 #10

I hear ya. So we will just hope something happens? Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #14

Trump winning with 46% was the mother of all flukes. John Fante May 2019 #13

You are right...he just hit 46 in the last couple days Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #16

In one poll. A poll that's been friendler to him than most. His average at 538 is currently 42.7% John Fante May 2019 #19

2020 will be more free and fair than 2016? tia uponit7771 May 2019 #24

Time to concede to election then. JFC. John Fante May 2019 #75

Or not whistle past the graveyard and impeach for the sake of exposure? tia uponit7771 May 2019 #77

46% approval is completely different than winning 46% of the vote Polybius May 2019 #37

Fivethirtyeight still has him where he's been all along. Low 40s Thekaspervote May 2019 #17

THIS !!!! uponit7771 May 2019 #25

Right but that's pulled down due to lower approvals Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #28

We all believe Trump is terrible. Many, like me think he is Doodley May 2019 #26

Yes. No matter how anyone tries to sugarcoat or Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #30

How Many Does These Type of Threads Exists.... LovingA2andMI May 2019 #31

Equally tiresome hearing people trash polls they don't agree with. Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #68

Gallup monthly poll just out 46% Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #70

Because of the economy. If the economy stays strong he could win. nt mr_liberal May 2019 #35

All Dem voters need to stop buying everything. ooky May 2019 #44

IBD/TPP has him at 43%. Yougov 41%. John Fante May 2019 #76

I don't care about the polls right now Buckeyeblue May 2019 #39

"Approval" adds up strongly and somewhat approve DeminPennswoods May 2019 #40

It is the economy LibFarmer May 2019 #45

I don't do the Tweeter thing. Which poll is making that claim? lagomorph777 May 2019 #49

It's not one poll. It's two of the most recent polls Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #53

The Harris pollsters are republicans too standingtall May 2019 #55

Since then, Gallup came out with 46. It used to be their daily, then their weekly Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #73

This jump suspicious. See later replies on this thread that counter emmaverybo May 2019 #51

45% approval isn't 45% of the vote. gldstwmn May 2019 #52

That's true. It's his favorability. I read that he can Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #54

He can win with less than 20 % approval. Russia can make it happen. Cousin Dupree May 2019 #56

Hmmmm LyndaG May 2019 #59

No re trump not 45% of vote, 45%approval rating...just Laura PourMeADrink May 2019 #69

We need the economy to tank Amishman May 2019 #66

What an awful thing to wish MosheFeingold May 2019 #71