General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: 3 forecast modelers predict Trump will win in 2020 [View all]Celerity
(54,333 posts)Hold Nevada and New Hampshire, then flip any ONE of a long list
IA (doubtful if WI stays red)
OH (TOUGH PULL)
MO (2nd HARDEST of these I fear)
IN hardest
AZ not easy
GA Abrams as VP? Still hard if its so.close where WI is red
Then the 2 most likely to flip
NC Abrams may help there
OR
..... everybody's favourite, sigh, FLORIDA
OR
FLIP none of the 8 and flip BOTH NE-2 AND ME-2 (HARD)
Last one we win 270-268 but ME-2 is crazy hard and unpredictable and if WI and the rest of the MW is red save for IL, MN, and MI, Nebraska will be a slog, even Omaha area
Way too early to tell but Rump's path reallys opens up into nervous time if WI goes red again. If he takes MI, PA and WI, well, even flipping Florida we lose unless we flip another on top of that.
Let's hope he somehow does some crazy enough shit even the Rethugs say, youuuurrrr OUT. Do not see that at all, unfortunately.