General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Pelosi on impeachment: if the Senate exonerates Trump [View all]Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)IF the economy doesn't tank between now and the start of impeachment hearings, Americans may not be invested in the fight and turn on the Democrats for it. Bill Clinton wasn't saved because the GOP overreached and impeached for a stupid blowjob - he was saved by an economy that allowed Americans to look the other way.
I don't know how many times I've heard apolitical coworkers (not Trump supporters - but people who just aren't engaged in the process) tell me that, "hey, as long as my 401K does well...I don't care what he does!" and that was the same damn mindset we saw in the 90s.
The fact is, Bill Clinton likely obstructed justice and perjured himself in the Lewinsky scandal. The investigation was bullshit but the charges ... really weren't. But because the country was doing so well, Bill Clinton was largely successful in framing the issue that he was working and Republicans were hell-bent on obstructing (ironically). Trump is attempting a similar argument.
But had the economy gone into a deep recession in the late 90s, sympathy for Clinton becomes less and less and support for his impeachment becomes more and more.
Then the polls shift dramatically. Who knows how things look in 1998 with an unemployment rate of 7% and 40,000 jobs lost a month.
If the economy continues to remain strong (I have my doubts), Americans may just burn out on the whole impeachment thing and give Trump a pass like they did Clinton.