Impeachment polling only barely nudges up in support - but still down from 2018. [View all]

[Drunken Irishman]

In the recent CNN poll, 41% of Americans believe we should impeach Trump. Most, if not all, these gains came from Democrats solidifying their support for impeachment.

But what I found interesting is how the numbers are actually down compared to 2018.

In Sept., 2018, 47% of Americans supported impeaching Trump.
In Dec., 2018, 43% of Americans supported impeaching Trump.
In April, 2019, that number dropped to 37%.

This is the first uptick we've seen in impeachment numbers since summer of last year. The problem is, the uptick isn't significant - and the total who do not want Trump impeached remains above the majority, as 54% of Americans don't support impeaching Trump.

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/images/06/01/rel7a.-.trump,.investigations.pdf

What this tells me is that, with all the noise from the Mueller Report, it didn't radically shift the narrative - even with Mueller talking. In fact, less Americans today, than at this point last year, support impeachment (54 to 51).

Some other tidbits from the polls that shows just how real the divide is:

44% of those polled believe these investigations are not merited by the facts - while 47% believe they are. Neither side has a majority support but it says a lot about the message when 44% of the country believes these investigations are not merited by fact. Continued investigating risks the potential of people tuning it out as they actually start to buy the line from Trump that this is a witch hunt.

One good thing to take away from this poll is that 56% of Americans believe Democrats are doing the right amount/or too little when it comes to investigating Trump (27% too little, 29% right amount), which kinda contradicts the above since you'd think if it wasn't merit based, those same people would feel like the Democrats are doing too much investigating. Alas...

Still, these numbers are not devastating for Trump. Public perception still hasn't eroded as rapidly as it did for Nixon even prior to the first TV hearings by the Senate into Watergate (May of 1973) - even before the hearings, Nixon had dropped 22 points in approval over the course of three and a half months.

Trump's approval today in this poll is 45% - which is actually up from the 42% he was at to start the year.

So, bottom line: Trump's support has improved since the Mueller probe ended.