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jpak

(41,780 posts)
19. 12:45 PM update max sustained now 185 - landfall Bahamas
Sun Sep 1, 2019, 12:38 PM
Sep 2019
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT5+shtml/011644.shtml

<snip>

...CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 DORIAN MAKES LANDFALL ON ELBOW CAY IN THE
ABACOS...

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and
satellite data indicate that Dorian has made landfall at 1240 pm
EDT (1640 UTC) in Elbow Cay, Abacos. The winds have increased
to 185 mph (295 km/h) with the minimum central pressure falling to
911 mb (26.90 inches).

This is a life-threatening situation. Residents there should take
immediate shelter. Do not venture into the eye if it passes over
your location.

Hazards:
- Wind Gusts over 220 mph
- Storm Surge 18 to 23 feet above normal tide levels with higher
destructive waves

<more>

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Yikes! 2naSalit Sep 2019 #1
Just under or over 200 MPH OneBlueDotBama Sep 2019 #2
Caution about how well models work on Cat 5 JCMach1 Sep 2019 #3
Good point malaise Sep 2019 #4
1980 Hurricane Allen reached maximum sustained speed of 190mph muriel_volestrangler Sep 2019 #6
This one has gusts of 200mph already malaise Sep 2019 #8
Now gusts at 220. Sustained at 185. triron Sep 2019 #21
Allen was in open water...Dorian is entering new territory JCMach1 Sep 2019 #13
Hurricane Patricia did 214 Polybius Sep 2019 #15
180 mph, shifting west again, I would not trust their forecast models one bit with a storm this big Baclava Sep 2019 #5
There is a cone. It doesn't have to go in the middle of the cone, it can go anywhere in the cone. LisaL Sep 2019 #7
Timing is everything when they forecast a 90 degree turn at the last moment Baclava Sep 2019 #10
I remember one did a 360, looped around and hit the same areas again. nt yaesu Sep 2019 #14
The "cone" is an aggregate of computer predictive models. It's not real life. n/t Eyeball_Kid Sep 2019 #29
Oh, my! Imagine how bad it could be if our scientists were correct NCjack Sep 2019 #9
Great post malaise Sep 2019 #11
Insurance claims impact many Americans bucolic_frolic Sep 2019 #18
It might make sense.. Newest Reality Sep 2019 #26
So accurate. dixiegrrrrl Sep 2019 #34
Very bad for the Islands but being this strong so far out could mean it probably will be yaesu Sep 2019 #12
it looks so unpredictable kentuck Sep 2019 #16
Actually supports my observations about hurricanes having been through several Tommy_Carcetti Sep 2019 #17
But the fuel supply is immense Rural_Progressive Sep 2019 #20
12:45 PM update max sustained now 185 - landfall Bahamas jpak Sep 2019 #19
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Sep 2019 #22
"Holy shit" has been my reaction, too. highplainsdem Sep 2019 #23
Stay safe, malaise. ❤ littlemissmartypants Sep 2019 #24
Kicked superpatriotman Sep 2019 #25
Ayone is Florida can tell you RandySF Sep 2019 #27
omg, needed that relief Hermit-The-Prog Sep 2019 #30
I am the greatest hurricane president, EVER! OneBlueDotBama Sep 2019 #28
Had the same thought malaise Sep 2019 #32
Have there been any saidsimplesimon Sep 2019 #31
Massive damage on Marsh Harbour malaise Sep 2019 #33
Partial 4:00 PM advisory jpak Sep 2019 #35
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»NOAA 2.00pm update - Holy...»Reply #19