Half of voters already decided against him for 2020

[Garrett78]

11. Without fraud, nobody with Trump's numbers can win, even with the electoral college in place.

His "strongly approve" number is in the 20s and his "strongly disapprove" number is almost twice as high.

It takes a lot of foreign interference and voter suppression to make a Trump re-election even remotely possible.

And consider all of the factors in his favor in 2016. His opponent was a polarizing figure who had, sadly, been under relentless attack for 25 years (a quarter of a century!). There was the last minute Comey announcement. Trump had the newness factor going for him, meaning Trump fatigue was not yet a reality and the media was more enamored with him. He was a massive underdog, so there were undoubtedly a lot of ignorant and overconfident people who basically said, "I'll give him a shot; he can't win anyway." Or, "I'll just stay home, because I know Clinton will win and I don't really like either candidate." All of that is why, if not for the prospect of election fraud, I'd be extremely confident in a landslide (where we take MI, PA, WI, FL, NC, GA, AZ, etc.).

But it all comes down to the bolded sentence above.