Nate Silver has Florida light blue today with a 59.2% Obama win prediction for November 6! UPDATED

[Samantha]

43. Hey, Rowdyboy, thanks for that info -- I went back to look for changes since I posted this

Before:

Michigan: 93.0 percent chance of Obama win November 6
Today 93.6

Virginia: 69.8 percent chance of Obama win November 6
Today 71.2

Colorado: 69.0 percent chance of Obama win November 6
Today 70.3

Ohio: 71.5 percent chance Obama
Today 72.1

PA: 91.2 percent chance Obama
Today 91.8

Electoral College prediction: 308.2 (Obama) 229.8 Romney
Obama 310.9; Romney 227.1

Massachusetts: 99.2 percent chance of Obama win (yes, I know this is not a swing state, but Romney was such a swell governor there)
Obama 99.4

Wisconsin: 77.3 percent chance of Obama win (Message from Wisconsin voters to rest of nation: to know Ryan is to not vote for him)
Obama 79.1

Question: Obviously there is an upward trend for President Obama and a downward one for Romney. Do you think this is the impact of the convention or a national trend that was destined to be despite the convention?

I wouldn't have made the time, Rowdyboy, to look without your thread, so thank you very much.

Sam

THIS IS VERY EXCITING! MAYBE PRESIDENT OBAMA IS STARTING TO BREAK AWAY BIG TIME.