Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

karynnj

(60,949 posts)
20. I think what many of us didn't know was how mush a long shot 2004 really was
Thu Sep 6, 2012, 10:23 PM
Sep 2012

Beachmom posted this article that someone had posted on twitter shows that Kerry did outperform what models would have predicted. Bush's approval rating and the economy gave him a good chance of being re-elected.

That did not count:
- the fact that 911 bonded many people to Bush who had not been there before
- the fact that he and Cheney terrorized people with false alerts because it led people to rally
around Bush
- The Catholic church and corporations knew that the winner could nominate 2+ SCJ - including replacing at least one conservative who was dying. Kerry would never have picked anyone who would vote for Citizens United.
- The media covered his biography, which was - even for a Presidential nominee - extraordinary and limited his direct TV exposure to just the 3 hours of the convention and the debates.
- 23 states had homophobic resolutions on the ballot to get the RW evangelicals out.
- He bowed to the media, party and his advisers in picking John Edwards, who then refused to cooperate with the campaign.

In spite of all of that, had the Republican SoS in Ohio not suppressed the vote by putting fewer machines than were there for the primary, he would have pulled off what might have been the greatest upset in decades.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

They will never fold tblue Sep 2012 #1
I think the convention has had a huge impact on the election...YES! nt snappyturtle Sep 2012 #2
They are holding back. Remember what Romney did to in his own primary. They southernyankeebelle Sep 2012 #3
Well, I think I heard that Clinton is all in! Dawg is gonna leave a mark! CTyankee Sep 2012 #4
They ALL need to be in. Dems don't have the money the repub pacs have. southernyankeebelle Sep 2012 #6
I do appreciate that fact but if the Dems have planted the idea in the minds of the voters CTyankee Sep 2012 #8
I just hope and pray this convention just spills over for the next couple of mouths. southernyankeebelle Sep 2012 #14
I think it has been getting people more enthusiatic loyalsister Sep 2012 #5
It might have pushed Obama's wagon a few feet further, but the rMoney horse is dead. HopeHoops Sep 2012 #7
I just hope that the Big Dog deaniac21 Sep 2012 #9
Not likely, IMO, partly because the President won't be trying to compete with him. gkhouston Sep 2012 #10
ONLY IF WE WORK FOR IT jsmirman Sep 2012 #11
Yup. Good for us. We need to do that and we will... CTyankee Sep 2012 #12
I'm fully engaged at this point, for sure jsmirman Sep 2012 #13
Not sure. I'm part of the choir. Poll yesterday didn't show any increase for Obama. But it's early. Honeycombe8 Sep 2012 #15
Hey CTY,, check out the du fundraising post Laura PourMeADrink Sep 2012 #16
They won't fold, they still have a good chance of winning Raine Sep 2012 #17
Statistically, if we can GOTV, we will win justiceischeap Sep 2012 #18
After 2004, I refuse to get too confident. I hope the convention fires up the base and GreenPartyVoter Sep 2012 #19
I think what many of us didn't know was how mush a long shot 2004 really was karynnj Sep 2012 #20
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Does anyone else suspect ...»Reply #20