General Discussion

Phoenix61

(18,834 posts)

42. I get wanting to use #Recovered in a calculation but statistically you can't do that.

Fri Jan 31, 2020, 01:46 PM

Jan 2020

You don't know the initial sample size and it's not total confirmed cases. The first case was December 8. I'm quite sure more than 187 have recovered since then. Based on confirmed cases (9776) and number of deaths (213), it's right at .0217 = 2.2% which was the initial prediction (2-3%) I heard. My guess, is the number recovered is based on hospital discharges and that initial sample size those would ones who got so sick they had to be admitted.

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The coronavirus: what you should pay attention to [View all] Coventina Jan 2020 OP

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I'll admit, I'm following this out of a morbid misanthropy Coventina Jan 2020 #2

You know I hung that one over the plate for ya ;) mr_lebowski Jan 2020 #9

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GMTA! Coventina Jan 2020 #7

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+++ still_one Jan 2020 #26

Any word on the patient in WA state who was quarantined 11 days ago? LonePirate Jan 2020 #27

Where are you getting your data from? Phoenix61 Jan 2020 #30

Good question. cwydro Jan 2020 #33

Here's a link where you can find the current number of listed recovered herding cats Jan 2020 #36

Johns Hopkins Coventina Jan 2020 #37

I get wanting to use #Recovered in a calculation but statistically you can't do that. Phoenix61 Jan 2020 #42

Perhaps you ought to take that up with Johns Hopkins? Coventina Jan 2020 #44

I'm sure their numbers are correct. Phoenix61 Jan 2020 #46

They seem to be inviting that by posting the numbers side by side. n/t Coventina Jan 2020 #47

I completely agree. It's misleading. nt Phoenix61 Jan 2020 #48

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Copy that, girl, standing by Leghorn21 Jan 2020 #35

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Yeah, you turned me into him a couple days ago and I checked a billion times after that but he Leghorn21 Jan 2020 #43

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This will go live at 5:05 pm. dewsgirl Jan 2020 #57

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Thanks!! Coventina Jan 2020 #45

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