Can you predict the future? Asking for your thoughts/opinions.

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3. i actually think the tide of extreme partisanship will soon reverse itself due to demographics

the republican party is running out of angry straight christian white men, and will soon have to open their tent up to broaden their coalition. money can certainly buy them some time, so this change won't happen in the next year or three, but soon enough they're going to have to appeal to some currently democratic or unaligned constituency and that's hard to do if you're just the party of mean and nasty.

i think of partisanship as a pendulum that's near its farthest point and will swing back under its own weight.

i think by 2020 there will be a much more civil tone. i don't see it getting much worse in the next 4 years because there's no need or benefit. it's relatively easy to dismiss a second-term president as a lame duck, so while they'll continue to block everything in sight, i don't see them amping it up beyond the current level. after that, i think they need to start broadening their appeal.