General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Does anybody have friends who are freaking out over the coronavirus? [View all]Silver1
(721 posts)It's still too early to make accurate predictions, but more data is emerging every day. We should know much more in a couple of weeks. A biologist at Michigan State University posts recent developments regularly: https://telliamedrevisited.wordpress.com/2020/01/30/updates-on-the-wuhan-corona-virus-ncov2019/
And an excerpt from Johns Hopkins:
(Feb 6): Tom Inglesby is the Director of the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security. He has a must-read twitter thread calling on the US and international community to undertake coordinated action to prepare for a possible pandemic. Some of the points Dr. Inglesby makes (with my emphasis in bold):
Continued efforts are being made toward containing and ending the nCoV outbreak before it leads to widespread community transmission in countries around the world. However what we know about this virus /epidemic suggests this goal is likely not attainable
extent of nCoV in China w/daily rise in numbers; high connectedness of China to rest of world; high r(0) of virus; spread of cases before containment started; cases in other countries that seem only explainable by community transmission all suggest nCoV not containable.
Domestically Is there community transmission in US? Given the thousands of passengers arriving daily from China in last 2 months prior to the recent travel restrictions, and given how transmissible nCov is seems possible, if not likely, there is already US transmission.
Need plan of action for ramping up preparedness of US hospitals to care for high numbers of ARDS [acute respiratory distress syndrome] patients. Training & protecting HCWs [health care workers]. Assessment and management of PPE [personal protective equipment] supply. Understand vent supply in private sector and SNS [social netork services]. Screening and triage practices.