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PoindexterOglethorpe

(28,493 posts)
36. You're right about the health experts, or at least some of them.
Fri Feb 28, 2020, 11:34 PM
Feb 2020

Others have said that while it seems to have a higher death rate than regular flu, it's not really so far out there.

There's also a bit of a problem of the boy who cried wolf. The drumbeat of "The next flu season could be as bad as 1918" has been in the air for several decades now. I honestly think that in first world countries at least, a comparably lethal flu still wouldn't be as awful given improvements in things like indoor plumbing.

And of course, the biggest thing with the 1918 flu is that it struck down young adults the way it did. That's the big anomaly. But again, to keep numbers in perspective, this country's population back then was about 105 million people. From what I find on line, about 28 million are believed to have gotten sick, and about 675,000 died. My little calculator says that's about 2.4% of those who got it, and about six tenths of one percent of the entire population. Not to trivialize those numbers, far more people didn't get it than did, and far more survived than died.

Oh, and that 2.4% is real close to what the current published death rate for the corona virus is.

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they will most likely find out MFM008 Feb 2020 #1
So it's basically a flu more virulent than our usual strains? n/t Just_Vote_Dem Feb 2020 #2
The coronavirus is a different family from the influenza viruses. summer_in_TX Feb 2020 #28
It's unrelated to the influenza virus. summer_in_TX Feb 2020 #32
The fear for me is that there is no one-- no one-- worse for a crisis like this than Trump dawg day Feb 2020 #3
yes Skittles Feb 2020 #6
I bet neither one of them gets the flu shot Skittles Feb 2020 #4
Look at this new Coronavirus post; wish you could leave it on appalachiablue Feb 2020 #5
So do I. I really don't think public health experts would be sounding the alarm if they didn't smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #9
Quick response gratuitous Feb 2020 #7
People cant shake hands in China due to Coronavirus. So they found another way. keithbvadu2 Feb 2020 #20
Genuine. Elbow bumping is another alternate. Totally Tunsie Feb 2020 #38
My DIL is 7 months pregnant and my step granddaughter dewsgirl Feb 2020 #8
I suppose some people won't be convinced until there is a higher body count, unfortunately. smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #10
I hope not. I keep telling people, I hope you are right and I truly dewsgirl Feb 2020 #11
America won't react until a celebrity gets it. CaptYossarian Feb 2020 #13
I heard the exact same thing today. Nt lostnfound Feb 2020 #12
The 1918 Spanish flu killed at least 40-50 million people, possibly as many as 100 million. tblue37 Feb 2020 #14
I have a feeling that by the time people start taking this seriously, it will be too late to smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #16
Kinda like Climate Change. StarryNite Feb 2020 #22
I think that ship has already sailed. nt. Mariana Feb 2020 #23
It is not Influenza. maxsolomon Feb 2020 #15
I know that. But a lot of people don't believe that. smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #17
Downplaying risk is Human Nature. maxsolomon Feb 2020 #18
If Trump doesn't take it seriously--and, obviously, he doesn't--they don't. Different Drummer Feb 2020 #31
Dr Trump can diagnose it as just another cold like he diagnosed TBI to be just a headache. keithbvadu2 Feb 2020 #19
i work with a chemist with a PhD. barbtries Feb 2020 #21
That just baffles me. I cannot understand how a scientist would think that way. smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #24
Are you saying that thousands of people don't die from the flu every year? PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #27
No. Not at all. What I am saying is that just because thousands of people die from the smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #29
While there has been a spread of this coronavirus around the world, PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #30
Hopefully, the panic is overblown. smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #33
You're right about the health experts, or at least some of them. PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #36
And what good will running around hair on fire do? ibegurpard Feb 2020 #25
Like I said, I am not terribly worried about it personally. smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #26
It's a Witches Spell, just like the Witch Hunt going after Trump (LOL) Ziggysmom Feb 2020 #34
Too many people believe that. smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #35
Maybe at trumps rallies they can cough in each other's faces to prove it and stick it to the liberal lunasun Feb 2020 #37
You don't know their political affiliation? Duppers Feb 2020 #39
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