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Snarkoleptic

(6,223 posts)
4. No to be an alarmist, but connecting the (admittedly limited number of) dots...
Sat Feb 29, 2020, 02:42 PM
Feb 2020
https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-cures/482794-officials-say-the-cdc-is-preparing-for
Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch told The Wall Street Journal that "it's likely we'll see a global pandemic" of coronavirus, with 40 to 70 percent of the world's population likely to be infected this year.

"What proportion of those will be symptomatic, I can't give a good number," added Lipsitch, who is the Director of the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

Two other experts have recently given similar estimates.

Ira Longini, a biostatistician and adviser to the World Health Organization (WHO), has predicted that two-thirds of the global population may eventually contract COVID-19.



We have 328MM people in the United States. If 40% of us are infected THIS YEAR. (see my emphasis added to the linked article)
40% of 328MM is 131,200,000.
If the mortality rate is just half of the 2% rate in the OP, that's 1.3million US deaths coming in the nest 10-months?!?!

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