Could Sherrod Brown or another non-primary candidate become the nominee in a brokered convention?

[pat_k]

14. I wish Sherrod had run!

I don't see that happening unless both Biden and Sanders were to have some sort of health crisis.

I really, really, really, wish Sherrod had run. Unfortunately he did not, and things have played out the way they've played out.

Biden is looking more and more inevitable.

If Sanders were to win a plurality on the first vote, Biden still wins with superdelegates on the second vote. This outcome would be horrible for the party -- utterly undemocratic -- but I think it's the way it would go. Superdelegates are generally quintessential "establishment" dems.

If Sanders wins Michigan and Missouri next week, perhaps chances of winning a majority on the first vote (the only way I see him becoming the nominee) go up. However, fivethirtyeight currenly gives that outcome only a 1 in 10 (compared to 3 in 12 for Biden).

Also remember, delegates pledged to candidates who have suspended their campaigns can vote however they want on the first vote (at least that's my understanding), so even if Sanders were to go in with a plurality of pledged delegates, he would not necessarily win a plurality on the first vote.

Sherrod might not be a bad pick for VP, but practicality of losing Senate seat precludes it. I think, whoever the nominee is, they would be better off with a woman of color like Stacey Abrams... or maybe even Kamala Harris (perhaps the fact neither is gung ho on Medicare for All would rule them out for Sanders, but I could still see it bolstering the ticket)