General Discussion

dawg

(10,777 posts)

15. If the mortality rate turns out to be only 0.5% ...

Sat Mar 7, 2020, 02:11 PM

Mar 2020

and only a quarter or so of the country gets exposed, then the number of American deaths should be limited to around 375,000 or so.

If that's better than what you were originally thinking, then, yes, maybe you're justified in being less worried.

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I'm feeling better about Coronavirus than I have in days. Am I justified? [View all] skip fox Mar 2020 OP

Not yet mshasta Mar 2020 #1

this janterry Mar 2020 #4

I don't think the issue is the mortality rate. drray23 Mar 2020 #2

Not to quarrel, but at 73 with heart problems, mortality rates are pretty important to me. skip fox Mar 2020 #11

No shit! Chainfire Mar 2020 #57

✨✨✨✨THANK YOU !!!✨✨✨✨ The infection rate can be 30% that shuts people uponit7771 Mar 2020 #47

Exactly. There aren't enough hospital beds, hospital staff, ventilators, or even masks. pnwmom Mar 2020 #59

Yes you are, in my opinion! at140 Mar 2020 #3

K&R!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! n/t RKP5637 Mar 2020 #7

No JCMach1 Mar 2020 #5

Without knowing the number of asymptomatic cases there... TwilightZone Mar 2020 #12

It's really simple right now... more than 2% and less than 10% JCMach1 Mar 2020 #40

No, we don't know that. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #41

we don't know that about flu either AlexSFCA Mar 2020 #62

Exactly-the flu numbers are much higher. Most do not see a doctor for the flu. 58Sunliner Mar 2020 #79

And that number depends on the country involved and how forceful they are to contain it. GemDigger Mar 2020 #80

We also don't know the number of additional deaths we've already had pnwmom Mar 2020 #60

Hard to know the exact mortality rate because of lack of testing BusyBeingBest Mar 2020 #6

This message was self-deleted by its author dawg Mar 2020 #8

The officially stated mortality rates are almost assuredly much higher than reality. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #9

The bad news is Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #13

My main source of contention is the death rates being thrown around. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #24

Don't think so. ooky Mar 2020 #10

I'm with you, but skip fox Mar 2020 #14

Taking precautions is the best thing you can do. ooky Mar 2020 #29

If the mortality rate turns out to be only 0.5% ... dawg Mar 2020 #15

It's significantly better. skip fox Mar 2020 #19

I'm really hoping that the actual numbers turn out a lot better than the ones I just used. dawg Mar 2020 #26

"I'd heard estimates of a 10-15% rate for people like me." TwilightZone Mar 2020 #28

This message was self-deleted by its author JenniferJuniper Mar 2020 #16

Still cautious, but I feel (not know) that this will be like most pandemics, Y2K, etc., not as Hoyt Mar 2020 #17

Y2K is a poor comparison unc70 Mar 2020 #35

How is China quarantining 760 million people like most pandemics? tia uponit7771 Mar 2020 #46

How many are quarantined now? China cases are dropping, and 3,500 have died. Hoyt Mar 2020 #48

Of course China's cases are dropping they're still haven't lifted the full quarantine !! uponit7771 Mar 2020 #49

Still not going to panic and hide, at this point. Odds are good that if those at greatest risk Hoyt Mar 2020 #50

There are enough known's to know this is different, we don't need to burn ourselves alive uponit7771 Mar 2020 #52

He believes it may be... stillcool Mar 2020 #18

You'll be attacked for NOT inciting panic. HarlanPepper Mar 2020 #20

760 million people quarantined in China is bad and that's different. uponit7771 Mar 2020 #45

Link...source? AncientGeezer Mar 2020 #51

Link inside, ... this is bad based off the facts uponit7771 Mar 2020 #74

Yes it is HarlanPepper Mar 2020 #68

+1, because that's what happened with Ebola uponit7771 Mar 2020 #75

I think that you, skip fox and I are right to be aware of the potential that this COVID-19 abqtommy Mar 2020 #21

No, you're not right IMHO. hamsterjill Mar 2020 #22

Cdc/wa doh webinar thur said 1/2 are asymptomatic yet contagious, as of then uppityperson Mar 2020 #23

I don't know yet. We have such different figures bronxiteforever Mar 2020 #25

It depends where you live. FM123 Mar 2020 #27

We have a new case in RI - our third - and they're telling us Totally Tunsie Mar 2020 #39

We can not compare what may happen here with what happened in other countries Books_Tea_Alone Mar 2020 #30

And that's why we are screw mshasta Mar 2020 #32

Mortality rate guesses can be further affected by the 2nd CV strain the bad 'L' CV 19. empedocles Mar 2020 #31

That risks putting yourself customerserviceguy Mar 2020 #33

I feel better about preventing the disease and WhiteTara Mar 2020 #34

The face is marvellous place to the eye. skip fox Mar 2020 #38

Your hypothesis is probably WhiteTara Mar 2020 #42

Both are fun to think about. skip fox Mar 2020 #43

We touch our faces because they itch, mostly. Like we have itches all over our bodies pnwmom Mar 2020 #67

Which does not exclude other reasons. skip fox Mar 2020 #69

I've got allergies, so it makes my nose itch and my eyes itch. I don't know why most people's faces pnwmom Mar 2020 #72

Yes nt Raine Mar 2020 #36

Whatever the mortality rate, containment is VITAL... pat_k Mar 2020 #37

760 million people quarantined in China is bad uponit7771 Mar 2020 #44

You are letting them pull the wool over your eyes. It's not just about mortality rates pnwmom Mar 2020 #53

In sum, the 3.4% mortality rate is based on serious cases getting hospital care Jarqui Mar 2020 #56

Damn. skip fox Mar 2020 #63

I'm guessing you're not living in the Seattle area . . . n/t pnwmom Mar 2020 #64

Southern Louisiana. skip fox Mar 2020 #70

I'm in the Seattle area, so nothing I'm hearing lately makes me feel better. n/t pnwmom Mar 2020 #71

I am too knowing that our President has a natural doc03 Mar 2020 #54

I so wish Trump had become a doctor. pnwmom Mar 2020 #73

Italy's death rate is 4%. Is that better? South Korea is an outlier. 58Sunliner Mar 2020 #55

After watching tonight's news broadcast, I'd say "No". Totally Tunsie Mar 2020 #58

And yet skip fox Mar 2020 #61

And when you add in the over 70's with cancer or other serious illnesses who couldn't get pnwmom Mar 2020 #66

No. LisaL Mar 2020 #65

I don't... Newest Reality Mar 2020 #76

No. Personally, I am avoiding eating out, large crowds, and I'm staying home as much as possible. OrlandoDem2 Mar 2020 #77

Unfortunately no. I have watched crazy scenarios explode dewsgirl Mar 2020 #78

I am very worried but on medication for ptsd that calms me down. I don't applegrove Mar 2020 #81