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Crunchy Frog

(28,299 posts)

53. They're not just counting those who have been hospitalized. Where did you get that idea?

Reply to PoindexterOglethorpe (Reply #17)

Sun Mar 8, 2020, 12:40 PM

Mar 2020

They're counting anyone who's tested positive, including the ones with mild enough cases to self treat at home.

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Contrary to Fox Noise, Coronavirus is not like the flu. Simple numbers I found: [View all] garybeck Mar 2020 OP

I wish people would stop doing that FBaggins Mar 2020 #1

we know that the death rate so far is 3.4% globally. garybeck Mar 2020 #3

Nope... it isn't FBaggins Mar 2020 #8

It's true that we have only preliminary estimates.. defacto7 Mar 2020 #14

Yes, we can't go on speculation just what we know. The math from WHAT WE KNOW is this is worse uponit7771 Mar 2020 #24

Is it not the same for the flu? mmbrevo Mar 2020 #25

This is not true. defacto7 Mar 2020 #12

Thank you. There's a huge misconception about the entire population mortality rate. Pobeka Mar 2020 #20

That's not what the Harvard epidemiologist said, at all. DanTex Mar 2020 #41

You're right, I misinterpreted what he said. Pobeka Mar 2020 #42

The hospitalization rates are the bigger problem Recursion Mar 2020 #32

Initial calculations were lower. They've gone up. Crunchy Frog Mar 2020 #50

We hope that's true. The original SARS was, early, estimated at 3%. It was 9%. enki23 Mar 2020 #51

Thank you for reminding folks of this. Mike 03 Mar 2020 #2

that is some scary sh*t garybeck Mar 2020 #4

Wouldn't be "fine," even if mortality rate were revised down... pat_k Mar 2020 #5

That 3% mortality is those who had symptoms severe enough to seek PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #6

your point is? garybeck Mar 2020 #9

My point is that no where near 3% of all who get the disease are dying. PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #17

Why did China have to build 2 hospitals in record time? Dem2 Mar 2020 #45

To warehouse people. PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #46

I wish I had some idea what the odds were of her getting it Dem2 Mar 2020 #47

Currently there is no realistic was to calculate those odds. PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #48

They're not just counting those who have been hospitalized. Where did you get that idea? Crunchy Frog Mar 2020 #53

Your last sentence really comes off poorly. Do you know what a 3% death rate looks. GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #10

See my post#11 giving an explanation of Mortality rates in the epidemiology world Pachamama Mar 2020 #13

It's figured on the percentage of deaths where there is an outcome. defacto7 Mar 2020 #15

It still does not count the many who have mild or no symptoms. PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #22

Have we heard from the professional epidemiologists that put out these numbers mr_lebowski Mar 2020 #29

They probably say it because epidemiologists defacto7 Mar 2020 #40

Fox News, nothing! I'm seeing it here! Squinch Mar 2020 #7

The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is currently 6% - the 3.4% is not the correct number Pachamama Mar 2020 #11

On the mark. defacto7 Mar 2020 #16

thank you but i think you're missing the point, as others are garybeck Mar 2020 #18

Clearly I am not missing the point which is why I posted real math to show the point n/t Pachamama Mar 2020 #19

Known reported cases. PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #23

No offense but I think you're maybe missing something my ladyfriend PO :) mr_lebowski Mar 2020 #30

Bingo. PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #37

The only 'very very very' many people you know for sure about ... mr_lebowski Mar 2020 #39

If unknown cases are not relevant, PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #43

In medically developed countries (not the US), Crunchy Frog Mar 2020 #56

Republicans are REALLY bad at math ThoughtCriminal Mar 2020 #21

What is the ***INFECTION*** rate !? Dying is horrible getting sick from this is bad !! uponit7771 Mar 2020 #26

It really is.. littlemissmartypants Mar 2020 #34

Thank you elleng Mar 2020 #27

So 35 million people get the seasonal flu in spite of wide spread vaccinations captain queeg Mar 2020 #28

The missing piece Onelove Vt Mar 2020 #31

Welcome to DU, and I 100% agree Recursion Mar 2020 #33

Welcome to DU! ❤ nt littlemissmartypants Mar 2020 #35

Even in a normal, boring, not very noticeable flu season, PoindexterOglethorpe Mar 2020 #38

"The drastic things that China did" greyl Mar 2020 #44

Great post, garybeck. Thanks for sharing this. ❤ nt littlemissmartypants Mar 2020 #36

it's more like 300x the mortality rate of the flu which is 0.01% (n/t) Spider Jerusalem Mar 2020 #49

"Like the flu" can mean a lot of things. I just read some about the "Spanish flu" back in 1918 brewens Mar 2020 #52

The R0 number is more important because it's exponential BernieBabies Mar 2020 #54

It's not 3% Terry_M Mar 2020 #55