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bucolic_frolic

(55,296 posts)

15. Sadly I think while the peak may be 2-3 months, the disease will spread for much longer

Wed Mar 11, 2020, 10:32 PM

Mar 2020

I'm no doctor or scientist, but my gut tells me 7 months minimum and 10 to 15 would not surprise me.

Other than the illness itself, systems in our society are at risk of being altered, disrupted, suspended. Some aspects may approach shortages like the WWII period.

I worry about distribution systems, manufacturing, retail.

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THIS IS NOT A DRILL.... [View all] babylonsister Mar 2020 OP

this is from a dr in a country who didnt get it right the first time and is now paying for it and AllaN01Bear Mar 2020 #1

Thanks! I will add to babylonsister Mar 2020 #30

Basically be responsible and think about others! BigmanPigman Mar 2020 #2

Seems that once a population critical mass hits then there's an explosion. Wish I knew how to ... uponit7771 Mar 2020 #3

There is no equation, there are quite simple models that work well. Pobeka Mar 2020 #4

There is: ret5hd Mar 2020 #12

The calculation is 'exponential growth' lunatica Mar 2020 #34

K&R. Pobeka Mar 2020 #5

Spot on. 58Sunliner Mar 2020 #6

We will do none of those things. GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #7

VERY IMPORTANT,PLEASE READ ENTIRE ARTICLE.& THANK YOU FOR POSTING- K AND R Stuart G Mar 2020 #8

I wish the media would cover the risk of permanent lung damage - Native Mar 2020 #9

Yes, Thank you for bringing up the issue of lung damage. Haggis for Breakfast Mar 2020 #11

And until they come up with a vaccine, IF they come up with one.... SergeStorms Mar 2020 #18

My grandfather caught the 1918 flu in WW1 thecrow Mar 2020 #27

Added Dr Grayson below post leighbythesea2 Mar 2020 #16

My daughter returns tonight.... SergeStorms Mar 2020 #19

Mine returns from San Antonio & New Orleans leighbythesea2 Mar 2020 #24

Yes, you too! SergeStorms Mar 2020 #32

I follow her on Twitter. Thanks! Native Mar 2020 #21

Danger, Danger Will Robinson, yep, I think Americans have finally figured it out, they are on their yaesu Mar 2020 #10

Thanks for posting...I'd been wondering why the lung damage after surviving wasn't stressed. Karadeniz Mar 2020 #13

Informative video Dr Dena Grayson leighbythesea2 Mar 2020 #14

Sadly I think while the peak may be 2-3 months, the disease will spread for much longer bucolic_frolic Mar 2020 #15

And don't count on anyone... SergeStorms Mar 2020 #23

I am going to post this, anonymously, at work. nt Laffy Kat Mar 2020 #17

This message was self-deleted by its author VOX Mar 2020 #20

This piece is legit, now published in Newsweek. VOX Mar 2020 #22

K&R smirkymonkey Mar 2020 #25

Kick burrowowl Mar 2020 #26

Scary and sober question everything Mar 2020 #28

My son read this to me this afternoon ... Hermit-The-Prog Mar 2020 #29

Thank you. I just copied this to a small number of people... Hekate Mar 2020 #31

Well, that gives me an idea for REAL "social distancing". ret5hd Mar 2020 #33

K&R& Dark n Stormy Knight Mar 2020 #35

Thanks. I shared on Facebook and I hope it's going viral. femmedem Mar 2020 #36

great article, thank you. shared on several facebook groups and my page nt Fresh_Start Mar 2020 #37

Our mayor in Houston is getting a lot of flack for canceling TexasBushwhacker Mar 2020 #39

One of the many reasons that Trump's address last night was so dangerous, HotTeaBag Mar 2020 #38

Scientists find the virus can travel four times the 'safe' distance and linger in the air for 30 min JudyM Mar 2020 #40

Facebook going strong on DU. cwydro Mar 2020 #41

This is an area where Facebook can save lives. n/t femmedem Mar 2020 #42

Oh indeed. cwydro Mar 2020 #43