Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Igel

(35,281 posts)
14. It's the problem with uncertainty.
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 09:15 PM
Sep 2012

You make present decisions based upon a prediction of what's likely. The more likely the prediction, the easier the decision.

As soon as you start changing things mid-stream it has the look and feel of being a retroactive change. It's certainly a change to the preconditions for your decision.

If a prediction seems assured and fails to happen, we feel cheated.

If it's hard to make a prediction, we might make a guess and decide based on the guess or we simple dither.

Right now I don't know:
if I'll have a job a year from now (because of state budget cuts)
what federal taxes will be--will i get $3k back or pay $2k?
what health insurance will be like (it changed mid-year last year because of the ACA)
what tax deductions will be
whether my house will be worth $10k less, $20k more, or the same
etc.

It makes for a lot of uncertainty. My best course of action is to pay down debt and then save what I can, hoping that inflation doesn't take off. That, repeated by 100 million other households, is a recipe for short-term economic stagnation.

23.6 decades since independence from Britain. Bluenorthwest Sep 2012 #1
Thanks, I originally was going to say years and then I forgot when I went over WCGreen Sep 2012 #3
I don't have a dog in this fight, being too poor to ever qualify for a mortgage. kestrel91316 Sep 2012 #2
Thank you for this good info... CaliforniaPeggy Sep 2012 #4
The problem is more valuation than cash flow cthulu2016 Sep 2012 #5
Ru Rogh. I hope OP paid attention. lonestarnot Sep 2012 #8
I am sure wcgreen knows more about practical tax issues than I do cthulu2016 Sep 2012 #9
Of course it is based on cash flow... WCGreen Sep 2012 #17
I think we may be talking past each other cthulu2016 Sep 2012 #35
The value of the house is based on the cost of interest. WCGreen Sep 2012 #21
I know a lot of people, ohheckyeah Sep 2012 #6
It kept a roof over my head for the whole Bush administration cthulu2016 Sep 2012 #7
It's the problem with uncertainty. Igel Sep 2012 #14
It won't happen. cloudbase Sep 2012 #10
Tax the shit out of the rich 1st. Close corporate loop holes. xchrom Sep 2012 #11
amen warrior1 Sep 2012 #12
Wait a minute brush Sep 2012 #13
You got me... WCGreen Sep 2012 #16
I am serious brush Sep 2012 #22
I'm presenting facts as to why the Republicans are putting this out as a possible WCGreen Sep 2012 #23
thanks BlueToTheBone Sep 2012 #24
Thanks also brush Sep 2012 #40
I have never understood people who SheilaT Sep 2012 #15
It does two things, it puts more money into the economy because of increasing WCGreen Sep 2012 #19
Not sure I entirely follow you here. SheilaT Sep 2012 #36
Investors in real estate development like to see stability and stability in WCGreen Sep 2012 #39
And there would probably be a lot more stability if SheilaT Sep 2012 #42
But the lower the interest rates available now means more people are paying more WCGreen Sep 2012 #43
as a person without kids, mortgage deduction allowed me to itemize Liberal_in_LA Sep 2012 #32
I've been doing our own taxes for 6 or 7 years with TurboTax. The interest rate deduction mnhtnbb Sep 2012 #18
Of course it is always tied to your tax rate... WCGreen Sep 2012 #20
It's always cheaper for me to use the EZ form instead of itemizing. nt NashvilleLefty Sep 2012 #25
Were going in the wrong direction DJ13 Sep 2012 #26
if this is gonna happen, at least you have to grandfather existing mortgages. unblock Sep 2012 #27
if you... RainbowOverTexas Sep 2012 #29
Black cloud over texas RegieRocker Sep 2012 #34
I'm with you, Rainbow. SheilaT Sep 2012 #37
well then why bother with mortgages at all? just pay cash. after all, you could lose your job. unblock Sep 2012 #38
Deducting interest payments from taxes began in 1913 SOS Sep 2012 #41
Seriously what is this crap? RegieRocker Sep 2012 #28
You know, it does give millions of people a stake in stability. WCGreen Sep 2012 #30
That makes no sense RegieRocker Sep 2012 #33
A couple of things PowerToThePeople Sep 2012 #31
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»One of the reasons there ...»Reply #14