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mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)

8. In case people are wondering why we're all sitting at home ...

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Reply #7)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 05:16 PM

Mar 2020

(I would guess) it's because without that, exponential growth becomes not only possible but likely.

That's ... uh ... 75,000,000 dead bodies (in the world) one month from now, at a 1% mortality rate, assuming it spreads like it has the last 1 week in the USA.

If anyone wanted to know

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could it really go like this re COVID-19? (I am updating data over time) [View all] NRaleighLiberal Mar 2020 OP

It could and most likely will. n/t LuckyCharms Mar 2020 #1

That's entirely reasonable. Laelth Mar 2020 #2

one hopes the social distancing and the closing of offices, restaurants, arenas, etc. will unblock Mar 2020 #3

no, because the number is too low, these are "expected" numbers based on testing, which we will run Demonaut Mar 2020 #4

agreed, and that is terrifying. NRaleighLiberal Mar 2020 #5

Or if you do it exponentially ... mr_lebowski Mar 2020 #6

wonder which it will be? mine is bad enough! NRaleighLiberal Mar 2020 #7

In case people are wondering why we're all sitting at home ... mr_lebowski Mar 2020 #8

It's probably a logistics curve central scrutinizer Mar 2020 #10

This will flatten out when the virus runs out of food The_jackalope Mar 2020 #11

That make sense, thanks :) nt mr_lebowski Mar 2020 #12

Exponentially, if 10x the number of reported cases # of cases exceeds US pop on April 1. FreepFryer Mar 2020 #9

Your curve is a bit steep. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #13

I doubt it. It will be bad but not nearly as bad as your curve. GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #14

Unlikely - US figures are controlled mainly by the tests available, not the number with the virus muriel_volestrangler Mar 2020 #15