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caraher

(6,364 posts)

6. I gauge how bad it is by number of deaths

Reply to Iwasthere (Original post)

Sat Mar 21, 2020, 09:38 PM

Mar 2020

You're right, case numbers are unknowable. And even COVID-19 death counts are likely off because of inadequate testing, but should be closer to the mark.

We've been tracking pretty steadily about 12 days behind Italy for deaths over the last week or so that I've been looking (i.e. the cumulative deaths in the US roughly matches the cumulative reported deaths for Italy from a bit under two weeks ago).

But yes - there's no substitute for widespread testing. Until we can do that we're flying blind

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So tired of the posted stats everywhere, showing the numbers WE DONT KNOW THE CURRENT NUMBERS!! [View all] Iwasthere Mar 2020 OP

My wife keeps reminding me of this matt819 Mar 2020 #1

we actually aren't testing all that are sick and want a test. So there's that mucifer Mar 2020 #2

South Korea has only tested .6% of their population mathematic Mar 2020 #3

I'm watching CBS News. They just said South Korea tested 10,000 people a day. What's our number? Shrike47 Mar 2020 #9

Unofficially, 44k over the past day, 35k the day before mathematic Mar 2020 #11

Of course we don't... pat_k Mar 2020 #4

We know how many have died--it is at alarming growth rate SiliconValley_Dem Mar 2020 #5

I gauge how bad it is by number of deaths caraher Mar 2020 #6

The US may not be testing everyone but is Bev54 Mar 2020 #7

the Most Current Numbers, we know it's not correct, it lags hugely but we can extrapolate Demonaut Mar 2020 #8

We're not even testing the sick in many cases. Crunchy Frog Mar 2020 #10

No, we don't. Igel Mar 2020 #12