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Igel

(37,460 posts)
7. By "likelihood" understand "probability".
Sun Apr 5, 2020, 07:32 PM
Apr 2020

And that doesn't mean "it's probable" but "it has a non-zero probability".

It was one scenario. It was one scenario out of many. It wasn't the most likely scenario. But it was a possible scenario.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/19/us/politics/trump-coronavirus-outbreak.html says all the same thing without the innuendo. The assumption is that in 2017 Trump must have read every report produced by the Pentagon; to believe that you'd also have to believe that the House DOD oversight committee would have been aware of it. Nobody wants to say the second must be true, but it's as true as the first part.

Notice that this was also not new in 2017. After the near pandemics for H1N1, SARS, and MERS, it was a big deal. Preparation didn't rise the level of a national emergency.

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