Explain to me why I am wrong, please.

[mr_lebowski]

36. No offense, but it's you that's missing my point ...

You said, and I quote:

"if the lethality were 40%, you would already have tens of millions of deaths here in the EU,

especially (and I am not ready to believe this) the is 6.0 and not the 2.5 to 3.5 that has been previously accepte"

That was the one and only statement I took issue with of yours.

In order for there to be 10's of millions (which is a minimum of 20,000,000 by definition) of dead Europeans, at a 40% death rate, there must be 50,000,000 infected. Currently we know of some 680,000 cases.

I simply asked you where you got the 50,000,000 from the 680,000.

I'm not making up any numbers, these are *exactly implied* from what you said ... that I took issue with.

To be very clear, I'm in no way insinuating that 40% is correct. I'm merely saying that I very much doubt that the lack of >=20,000,000 European bodies ... is a mathematically sustainable counter-argument.

The correct IMHO counter-argument involves showing why the 'recovered' number that the OP used in the denominator ... is not the correct number to use. He looked at Dead Vs. Recovered, and came up with 2 dead for every 3 recovered, which is 40% dead.

The proper answer involves explaining why that math is wrong. That's it. It doesn't involve throwing out random counts of dead Europeans ... pulled from thin air.

With that explanation, hopefully we're done. Love ya