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Showing Original Post only (View all)How exactly are there "only" supposed to be 60,000 deaths? [View all]
I know many probably were like me and saw that University of Washington projection that Trump has run with that now projects only 60,000 deaths by August as highly optimistic. But Im looking at the numbers and it would literally take almost an act of God for that projection to even be close to accurate. I havent been keeping close track but it seems we are having 2,000+ deaths a day for some time now so even a 50% drop is a thousand a day, 75% drop is 500+. At the current rate its over 10,000 a week, a 75% drop would still be 2500 a week. Even if that occurs its 10,000 a month for 3 months which would be 70,000 by August assuming a nearly immediate drop of that. I look for another week or so of peak until we see a reduction but still nearly 50% of peak for a few weeks if its anything like Italy and Spain. So I expect another week of 10,000 deaths followed by 2 weeks of 5000+. So right there is 20,000 that would be almost 60,000 by mid May. Tell me again how its going to be 60,000 by August? What right wing think tank sponsored this? I wouldnt care but Ive heard trump and others on the right bring this up to show how much lower estimates are now because of his actions and Im like only 20,000 are gonna die in 3 months when its been almost 40,000 in 6 weeks basically.