General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: SHeesh - did you just see THAT on CNN? "Of 146 people who tested positive at a Boston Nursing Home, [View all]Igel
(37,635 posts)And while everybody keeps saying it may be simply a lot of pre-symptomatic people, that's the kind of thing easily confirmed. Check back a week later--you'd expect the hot spot to have continued, with most of those pre-symptomatics now sick.
I haven't seen that reported.
Either when S. Korea reported this back in February and had a similar rate, or the few other studies that have done this sort of check. One peer-reviewed article came up with a rate of 10-14% (I think I sometimes say 10-12, I have to double check that number) asymptomatic. And they waited for the symptoms to appear.
I find it in keeping with the Stanford study people are mistakenly freaking out over.
1. It's probably a good thing, once you realize it means COVID isn't the death sentence many people at already low risk of dying from it fervidly believe it to be.
2. It undercuts the entire containment idea. (And I still think China realized this, said, "Oh, shit, now what do we do?" and shut everything down as the *only* way to effectively stop transmission between asymptomatic cases when contact tracing was too onerous.)