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thesquanderer

(12,871 posts)

23. I'm seeing different numbers.

Reply to Dem4Life1102 (Reply #22)

Tue Apr 21, 2020, 04:30 PM

Apr 2020

RCP average, Biden is only up by 4.4, not by 9.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_biden-6761.html

re: "So in what world does 46 beat 57?"

46 and 57 are not important numbers. The only important number is 270. All Hillary's states plus Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania wins the presidency, even without Florida or North carolina, and would probably be the path of least resistance.

Or to put it differently, 46 can beat 57, if you can actually get the 46 with more certainty than you can get the 57. As long as the 46 is still enough to get you to the 270 mark.

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WaPo: Why Joe Biden needs Elizabeth Warren [View all] whathehell Apr 2020 OP

While she would help attract progressives Dem4Life1102 Apr 2020 #1

Not according to some latest polls kcr Apr 2020 #2

here is the graphic Celerity Apr 2020 #5

Not what those polls Dem4Life1102 Apr 2020 #8

Biden is polling much better in Virginia than in Michigan or Wisconsin. thesquanderer Apr 2020 #21

One point better Dem4Life1102 Apr 2020 #22

I'm seeing different numbers. thesquanderer Apr 2020 #23

You should look at this Dem4Life1102 Apr 2020 #24

I think that 538 page doesn't mean what you think it does. thesquanderer Apr 2020 #25

The path that wins as many states as possible Dem4Life1102 Apr 2020 #26

re: "The path that wins as many states as possible" thesquanderer Apr 2020 #27

And if you want to win those states Dem4Life1102 Apr 2020 #28

I know for a fact there are thousands if not dugog55 Apr 2020 #3

If they don't vote or vote for Trump Dem4Life1102 Apr 2020 #9

Warren is a progressive. whathehell Apr 2020 #12

And yet, the ones who won't vote for Biden.... Happy Hoosier Apr 2020 #17

I take your word for it on the first statement... whathehell Apr 2020 #18

One Problem Among Many With This Line, Sir The Magistrate Apr 2020 #19

Pick her and we get a Republican replacement. Nt jaysunb Apr 2020 #4

only for a few months, unless you think Baker runs for Senate (and that is not a sure thing from any Celerity Apr 2020 #6

Okay. Nt jaysunb Apr 2020 #7

This message was self-deleted by its author whathehell Apr 2020 #11

I disagree. LakeArenal Apr 2020 #10

Well it is about the only way Trump whistler162 Apr 2020 #13

She is a great speaker. Agree! McCamy Taylor Apr 2020 #14

This article is just one in a series, not a news article or the Post's opinion. DFW Apr 2020 #15

So what if it's 'one in a series'? whathehell Apr 2020 #16

Here's what DFW Apr 2020 #20

Yes, that's stated, whathehell Apr 2020 #29