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mopinko

(73,530 posts)
18. i have a wager w my trumpkin.
Wed Apr 29, 2020, 09:04 AM
Apr 2020

he bet 8-10k. i bet 1m.
he took it as further proof that i am an insane commie pinko.

of course, he lost the second week. but being a fair person, i told him that we should have had a time limit. it was assumed to be a bet for the duration. i suggested 1 yr.
as a further gesture, i said that i didnt win until i split the difference.

i did the exact same calculation as you, based on the numbers i was seeing from italy and france.

he is a smart fellow, but has little math or science background, where i have a 2 yr science degree, and am a lifelong geek. i have been grateful for the ability to gloat, and gloat i do. on fb.

it's a funny thing about numbers. i think the traitors are making a serious mistake w their cherry picked data and made up numbers. they take a different route in the brain. they arent subject to the usual filters.
i read about a guy who broke out of scientology by studying science. i have been taking similar advantage of his complete ignorance here. he believes a lot of stupid things, including ear candles, ac vinegar, you name it.
i have been able to steer him toward reality when his cures fail a couple of times. there i dont gloat.

as the projections become concrete, a lot of veils will fall, imho.

advice to those of you w trumpkins in your life- rub their noses in those numbers. fucker carlson et al are making big hay out of failed projections, and minor issues w the numbers, like when was patient zero.
today we surpass twitlers 'good job' marker. rub their noses in that number at every opportunity.

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Yes it is, but it is being sold by the GOP and Fox so we should prepare. redstatebluegirl Apr 2020 #1
True, but think how much money will be saved on Social Security and ooky Apr 2020 #2
But there voter base is perdomonitaly older Americans TNLib Apr 2020 #5
By this time next year the election will be long over. ooky Apr 2020 #11
The plan is what you said, with an added gloss of other strategies to make it less obvious. Girard442 Apr 2020 #3
Herd immunity would require at least 60% of us being infected, probably 70% or more. dawg Apr 2020 #4
Check your decimal point. MineralMan Apr 2020 #9
Nope. I was assuming the same lethality as the regular flu. dawg Apr 2020 #16
Math Botany Apr 2020 #10
My point was to show how bad a "best" case scenario would be, using a 0.1% death rate similar ... dawg Apr 2020 #17
The only thing fixed in that equation is the U.S. population the infection rate and the mortality... Botany Apr 2020 #21
Exactly. We just don't know. But we do know enough to be fairly certain it would be terrible. dawg Apr 2020 #24
In America and world wide the #s of both cases and deaths will be staggering Botany Apr 2020 #26
Still averaging 30,000 new cases per day openthepodbaydoors Apr 2020 #19
It would be optimistic to believe herd immunity could be established with fewer than 196,000,000 ... dawg Apr 2020 #22
I'm guessing at least a million by Election Day. lagomorph777 Apr 2020 #6
That seems to be the plan exboyfil Apr 2020 #7
I do question motivation spinbaby Apr 2020 #14
It's probably even a bit harsher than that Shermann Apr 2020 #8
how it can be is- mopinko Apr 2020 #15
Three things (at the least) make that plan foolhardy zonemaster Apr 2020 #12
Unfortunately True, Sir The Magistrate Apr 2020 #13
i have a wager w my trumpkin. mopinko Apr 2020 #18
Sheltering in place indefinitely isn't a plan either. Ace Rothstein Apr 2020 #20
The good option is to ramp up testing so we know MineralMan Apr 2020 #23
Agreed: therein lies the real problem with any plans being undertaken now. nt crickets Apr 2020 #25
We're also unsure how long antibodies last. A good vaccine is the ultimate goal. Pobeka Apr 2020 #30
👆🏽👆🏽👆🏽THIS !!!👆🏽👆🏽👆🏽 We need a "Want A Test Get A Test" quick turn around like in China uponit7771 Apr 2020 #32
We can keep just a few NPI measures in place, have contact tracing and wait for a vaccine. Pobeka Apr 2020 #29
There are 10's of millions who are out of work for years in your scenario. Ace Rothstein Apr 2020 #31
+1, that's why the DNC needs to continue to blame the kGOP so people know where their pain is coming uponit7771 Apr 2020 #33
ok, whats your plan? nt USALiberal Apr 2020 #35
We're going to have to slowly open back up. Ace Rothstein Apr 2020 #36
Amost everyone can work 6 feet from someone else, 6 feet wearing a mask is ok. Pobeka Apr 2020 #37
I think so... Takket Apr 2020 #27
Yes, the two things that really could get us back to work, tanyev Apr 2020 #28
+1 uponit7771 Apr 2020 #34
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