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Why? Loki Liesmith May 2020 #1
Job losses, there's no consumer presure there's not a country who's shut down who have had uponit7771 May 2020 #5
The model assumes if everything magically reopens the DemocratSinceBirth May 2020 #8
Does it assume that though? Loki Liesmith May 2020 #12
Without full accurate testing, a vaccine and a cure there are no worthy predictions. BSdetect May 2020 #2
well if we had all that, predictions would be much easier.... unblock May 2020 #6
yes, i don't think scenario 3 takes into account how people would react to 350,000 deaths unblock May 2020 #3
+1, and this death is horrible. Laying in the bed suffocating alone while someone shows your face in uponit7771 May 2020 #7
Everybody's risk tolerance is different. DemocratSinceBirth May 2020 #11
And I think that 350,000 deaths is wildly optimistic if it supposes a return to "normal" behavior. Salviati May 2020 #14
not even clear what that number is supposed to represent unblock May 2020 #17
Yeah, no. Baitball Blogger May 2020 #4
"By end of June"? And how many in July, August, September?? lostnfound May 2020 #9
I'm not sure the reporting entirely matches the model C_U_L8R May 2020 #10
The choice isn't between economic harm or a high body count... Salviati May 2020 #13
There's data that people aren't close to resuming their pre COVID-19 lives. DemocratSinceBirth May 2020 #16
K&R, This is assuming people would flock back to work or flock back to shopping. Bad assumption ... uponit7771 May 2020 #15
"By end of June" Progressive dog May 2020 #18
Notice in scenario #2, that's 162,000 additional deaths, for a total sinkingfeeling May 2020 #19
Yes and magically, in scenario 3 only 350k people. Caliman73 May 2020 #25
Scenario #3 must be based Chainfire May 2020 #20
There is a gym, spa and pool at my apartment complex. It's closed DemocratSinceBirth May 2020 #22
i joined you ...there are some idiotic assumptions in that model Fresh_Start May 2020 #21
if you ask 1000 Republicans, would they trade an additional 1 death per 1750 people (the Celerity May 2020 #23
Sounds kind of like this... Caliman73 May 2020 #24
500,000 jobs lost? Not a chance it could be that low in Scenario #3. zonemaster May 2020 #26
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