Biden Leads Trump In Florida - 53% to 47%

[OrlandoDem2]

10. Look. For anyone not familiar with FL, there are a lot of factors here.

First, FL has about 10 different media markets. That’s a blessing and curse. You don’t win Fl by walking door to door which helps Biden but he needs $$$ for TV.

Second, for a Democrat to win means he/she needs a 10 point lead. High single digit leads for the Democrat means there’s a tie and low single digit leads means a narrow loss (see Andrew Gillum).

Third, the Florida Democratic Party is totally and completely inept. Democratic parties in ruby red states like KA and UT are are more effective. Yes, Obama won twice here but he had an absolute machine. He won because of his apparatus, not the FDP. The FDP is horrible. We routinely lose statewide elections and it often fails to field candidates in competitive seats for state legislature. We have had an all GOP government since 1998, aside from a few meaningless cabinet posts miraculously won by Dems.

All of that means this lead could very well be squandered. The GOP in FL is extremely sophisticated and disciplined. They know how to identify voters and get them to the polls to drive up margins in red areas of FL and cut marginal losses in blue area of FL. The FDP is horribly inept and incompetent so such clever campaigns are beyond their grasp.

So, I will be happy for a Biden won obviously but unless something changes soon in tactics and strategy, count on a FL loss.

I really hope someone highly ranked in the FDP is reading this.