General Discussion

Amishman

(5,929 posts)

14. Hard to poll would be my guess.

Fri May 15, 2020, 11:06 AM

May 2020

My first thought is about retirees who split time between multiple states, and only return to Florida around election time when the weather up north gets too cold.

Florida is friendlier on taxes, so the snow birds are incentivized to have official residence and thus voter registration there.

Well off retirees vote Republican.

That being said, the 2018 polls that got it wrong still showed a much tighter race than this latest Trump/Biden poll

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Biden Leads Trump In Florida - 53% to 47% [View all] writes3000 May 2020 OP

Good news, but a lot of time left...nt Wounded Bear May 2020 #1

Good news, but a lot of time left. LenaBaby61 May 2020 #15

Trumps diaper just exploded Blue Owl May 2020 #2

Perhaps pushing to kill off grandma and grandpa NewJeffCT May 2020 #3

Exactly. writes3000 May 2020 #4

Nobody polled me. lpbk2713 May 2020 #5

Very early awesomerwb1 May 2020 #6

Wow. Johnny2X2X May 2020 #7

A very positive sign for Biden. Trump cannot win without FLA. Yavin4 May 2020 #8

Don't count on Florida yet jimfields33 May 2020 #9

Not saying that Biden will win it. Yavin4 May 2020 #11

That is true. Although the thought of him here is sick! jimfields33 May 2020 #12

Hard to poll would be my guess. Amishman May 2020 #14

Florida and Arizona gets us to 272... Wounded Bear May 2020 #17

FLA+ PA or FLA+MI does it as well. Yavin4 May 2020 #18

Look. For anyone not familiar with FL, there are a lot of factors here. OrlandoDem2 May 2020 #10

Is this registered voters? Nancy Waterman May 2020 #13

I don't trust the voters in Florida. I remember the polls from the last governor's helpisontheway May 2020 #16

K&R Tarheel_Dem May 2020 #19

K&R Scurrilous May 2020 #20