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Eyeball_Kid

(7,604 posts)
18. The virus WILL rebound.
Wed May 27, 2020, 02:46 AM
May 2020

Anticipate 200k deaths by September, just before the second wave. The economist might know his stuff, but he's not an epidemiologist.
There is no indication that warmer weather will slow down this virus. There is no cure. It will do what it will do. Mitigation measures will be partially successful, but the infections won't stop.

Trumpy-boy will try to keep the economy rolling, but the infections and deaths will take their toll. Consumers will stop consuming because there is no cure for the virus and people will continue to die. The economy relies on consumption. It's driven by the purchase of goods and services. High unemployment means that people have no money to spend, and for those who do have disposable incomes, the virus will infect people who circulate. So the act of spending is dangerous.

The US and most of the world has not seen this kind of thing in over a hundred years. We don't want to alter our lives to the extent that we will stabilize around the live virus and we don't know how to establish new norms. Our normal activity, for decades long, must cease until a vaccine is developed and administered to vast numbers of people. That will take YEARS.

Biden can win merely by telling the truth. People want to hear the truth. They are done with lies and con games, and their disgust will grow. Sure, Trump will cheat and he'll lie, but he's no longer an unknown quantity. Cheating and lying will no longer be a surprise. We EXPECT Trump to try to win the election by cheating. Everyone's antennae are up. The press will be hypersensitive to voter/election fraud. Trump won't be able to pull of a fraudulent election because everyone will know about it in advance.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

He will only steal it via the Electoral College. roamer65 May 2020 #1
Biden has a substantial lead in every reputable poll... regnaD kciN May 2020 #2
If the virus rebounda and the economy struggles Ex Lurker May 2020 #3
The virus WILL rebound. Eyeball_Kid May 2020 #18
Take it seriously - Ms. Toad May 2020 #4
He'll be 're-elected' the same way he was 'elected' in 2016. Budi May 2020 #5
Trump's race to lose zipplewrath May 2020 #6
The magnitude of his loss will be epic. nt BootinUp May 2020 #7
The Financial Guys Love Trump.... global1 May 2020 #8
Which Is Odd ProfessorGAC May 2020 #20
I read something in politico or something LeftInTX May 2020 #9
By election day even the official (never mind actual) death toll will be 1/4 to 1/2 million RockRaven May 2020 #10
I never publish maps that show a Rump win, but these would be his most likely paths Celerity May 2020 #11
If there is a 269-269 tie in the EC, JmAln May 2020 #22
Indeed. If that nightmare occurs, there is going to be massive Celerity May 2020 #24
Thanks for the charts TreadSoftly May 2020 #28
Betting markets are good predictors, they have it a toss up Cicada May 2020 #12
He can only win by cheating JI7 May 2020 #13
He barely won last time. It will not happen again. betsuni May 2020 #14
So the Covid numbers right now are not Horrible ? JI7 May 2020 #15
That's why I had the question mark on that phrase... TreadSoftly May 2020 #16
Sartre famously said we choose our own history: that means, of course, that our future past struggle4progress May 2020 #17
Swing states, swing states, swing states... VOX May 2020 #19
Typically in the past what has been good for Wall Street has been good for the overall economy pecosbob May 2020 #21
Does 100k deaths and climbing not fit your friends criteria? chowder66 May 2020 #23
Apparently not. baked-in cost, I suppose TreadSoftly May 2020 #25
Wow. chowder66 May 2020 #27
I'm really scared that what happened in the UK could easily happen here. Initech May 2020 #26
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