General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Please ignore the national polls [View all]The_Counsel
(1,757 posts)That actually held. The polls were tightening in Rust Belt over the two weeks before Election Day. Iowa slipped away. Ohio slipped away. Trump actually stopped campaigning in WI and everyone assumed it was lost for him and didn't bother watching the polling there. Clinton damn-near lost MINNESOTA! Never would have thought that until it actually happened. The Trump campaign said he had a chance in MI and everyone laughed. Thought the guy had lost his damn mind. Well, he HAD, but he still won. Maybe it was the tainted water, but there were enough MI voters who wanted to "take their country back" to flip it in the idiot's favor...
Fast forward to 2020 and the opponent is Joe Biden, who actually has inroads in all those states mentioned (saving Iowa, I guess). Breaking the Blue Wall there is a steeper hill to climb for Trump there. He'll still try, but he really doesn't have a choice. Otherwise, he'll have to run on his track record--and we know THAT'S a no-go...
The longer Biden holds leads this solid, the more difficult for Trump to close the gap. It will take major shenanigans, and the entire country has known about those for the past 1-3 years.