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ProfessorGAC

(64,852 posts)

7. I Don't Think That Means Much

Reply to MontanaMama (Reply #5)

Tue Jun 30, 2020, 05:56 PM

Jun 2020

In 2 days, they tested 530 people. In a metro area of a million, in a state of <4 million.
This is the equivalent of 1,060 tests per day for the state.
Illinois at 3x the people is testing around 24,000 a day.
I get that 100% is 100%, but the denominator is so small it's not smart to draw inferences.
If they were testing 8,000 a day, and positivity were just 10, it would be more people actually infected!
And TX & FL are at nearly 15. If Oklahoma were at 15, it would be 3 in 20 infected, but 1,200 cases, instead of 530. The % positive, as important as it is, seems to lack mathematical context.
I don't think Hayes thought this report through.

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Highlight:

It's been 10 days since trumps Tulsa rally. Anyone know [View all] Luz Jun 2020 OP

We should know by the holiday weekend malaise Jun 2020 #1

Oklahoma today posted the largest increase ever. SoonerPride Jun 2020 #2

I suspect the rally surge is getting lost in the general one... Wounded Bear Jun 2020 #3

I haven't seen any reports of specific attendees of that rally testing positive SoonerPride Jun 2020 #4

Fwiw, cell phone data showed that attendees came from Hortensis Jun 2020 #10

Chris Hayes covered Tulsa a little bit last night. MontanaMama Jun 2020 #5

I Don't Think That Means Much ProfessorGAC Jun 2020 #7

I get your point... MontanaMama Jun 2020 #14

Some Illinois Context ProfessorGAC Jun 2020 #15

A lot of attendees came from the surrounding states & then returned to them. nt tblue37 Jun 2020 #6

The numbers are marinating... Blue Owl Jun 2020 #8

If they had to sign waivers, there should be a record of attendees. Sneederbunk Jun 2020 #9

Yes of 430 attendees tested they had 100% positivity rate. Bev54 Jun 2020 #11

Do you think the Trumpanzees would seek a test ... IggleDuer Jun 2020 #12

If they did attend and become positive their supposed to come clean about where they were Bengus81 Jun 2020 #13