General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: How can a disease with a 1% mortality rate shut down the U.S? Answered by Franklin Veaux: [View all]Blue_true
(31,261 posts)You can dismiss that all you want, it is simply science that has been proven over and over. As Florida and Arizona and Texas tested more people, drawing closer to a full population sample, their positivities soared. As more people are tested, the randomness of the test group increases, coming closer to matching what one would see if 100% of people were tested. The claim made that there are 10x or 20x more infections than found is not borne out by data, the positivity rate as more people are tested indicates that claim in highly inflated.
The date rate that I used include deaths from a time when hospitals were overrun by something that they had no idea how to treat, so now that therapies are better, the death rate that we will see soon is likely to be less than 5%, what it is remains to be seen. The death rate has fluctuated between 40% and 65% of what was seen during the worst of the earlier periods (April mostly), that would imply that the number is between 2% and 3.25% of people that test positive for the virus.