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marlakay

(13,377 posts)

21. I would love a covid turnaround

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Sun Jul 26, 2020, 01:57 PM

Jul 2020

But I have heard from many leading doctors, scientists that we are heading into a major closedown by Oct.

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Nate Silver: "I do not buy that Trump's fate is sealed" [View all] applegrove Jul 2020 OP

A Covid turnaround by the fall could make the election more competitive, empedocles Jul 2020 #1

What turnaround will there be? 250,000 deaths instead of the 150,000 now? brush Jul 2020 #8

trump could do everything right for the next 100 days (which won't happen) and panader0 Jul 2020 #16

Yep. I can't imagine the nation rewarding another four years to such an... brush Jul 2020 #20

There will be no 'turnaround.". The dead will still be dead. yellowcanine Jul 2020 #18

Uhuh. And at some point hopes will be blasted that a vaccine Hortensis Jul 2020 #22

I don't doubt it either. I never thought he would win last time. idziak4ever1234 Jul 2020 #2

Sealed 100% probability Trump loses. No , he doesn't have a 100% chance of losing. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 #3

The strawman is Trump has no chance, no one is saying that. Biden could burn his VP alive on ... uponit7771 Jul 2020 #41

Neither do I. HotTeaBag Jul 2020 #4

It's Nate's job to assign a probability. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 #6

Unless you're talking about the NY Jets. n/t Yavin4 Jul 2020 #23

The Jets once erased a three touchdown deficit to the Dolphins in the 4th quarter. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 #31

It won't bring the dead back to life. It won't Phoenix61 Jul 2020 #5

Yea, so many people are going to change their minds in the next three months. shockey80 Jul 2020 #7

Post your data please! nt USALiberal Jul 2020 #25

Please Remember, Nate Is A Race Horse Guy! ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #9

Nate's job is to assign probabilities. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 #11

Can't Disagree ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #33

Nope, he posts odds based on data. Math! Get it? nt USALiberal Jul 2020 #28

Dismissed! ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #29

LOL, send ink to your analysis! Thanks! nt USALiberal Jul 2020 #36

He is speculating JonLP24 Jul 2020 #32

Well, biases can affect analysis, but.... Happy Hoosier Jul 2020 #34

That's Not What I Said ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #37

Of course, but... Happy Hoosier Jul 2020 #44

There is no data that explains Trump getting away with being an asshole and letting the virus spread uponit7771 Jul 2020 #39

It is not zipplewrath Jul 2020 #10

I'm not so sure American voters are ready to forget or let by-gones be by-gones Grammy23 Jul 2020 #12

+1, ... and if they are its the media's fault for not highlighting ***HOURLY*** how Trump got us in uponit7771 Jul 2020 #38

Nate - tbat would require competence... lame54 Jul 2020 #13

Silver is right. CrispyQ Jul 2020 #14

Translation: He's blaming his crappy modeling on the uncertain nature of the universe... tandem5 Jul 2020 #15

Why we he say anything different? beachbumbob Jul 2020 #17

Reading these threads is like sarisataka Jul 2020 #19

I would love a covid turnaround marlakay Jul 2020 #21

The moment in 2016 i thought Trump could win. BlueNIndiana Jul 2020 #27

I live in red city in Oregon marlakay Jul 2020 #56

Translation: Keep paying me to appear on the TeeVee. Horserace. Sell ads. PSPS Jul 2020 #24

LOL, ok! nt USALiberal Jul 2020 #26

This election has a long way to go rockfordfile Jul 2020 #30

If that happens then the media in the country has failed its citizens again big time. Nate "forgets" uponit7771 Jul 2020 #35

Other than approval rating, there is no status quo during Trump Awsi Dooger Jul 2020 #40

Arizona is probably easier to flip than Wisconsin JonLP24 Jul 2020 #46

I agree Arizona is in flux Awsi Dooger Jul 2020 #57

As I've said before, one October Surprise would be DT announcing a vaccine ... Hekate Jul 2020 #42

They will announce a new stimulus package, they will lie, cheat and steal Baltimike Jul 2020 #43

Or imagine that.... Happy Hoosier Jul 2020 #45

The Republican side already stormed the Michigan capital with guns and they weren't brutalized JonLP24 Jul 2020 #47

You misunderstand me... Happy Hoosier Jul 2020 #48

I understand JonLP24 Jul 2020 #51

I think it's a pretty volatile situation.... Happy Hoosier Jul 2020 #52

Or just Cheating JI7 Jul 2020 #49

GOTV treestar Jul 2020 #50

Opinions on Trump are nearly baked in at this point DeminPennswoods Jul 2020 #53

When we meet someone that is on the fence or MAY but are not sure that they will vote Blue_true Jul 2020 #54

Me either. We have to GOTV in the midst of a pandemic. ooky Jul 2020 #55