I really like Gov. Whitmer, but ... We're looking at white privilege in real time

[Awsi Dooger]

68. Biden pledged to pick a woman, then assumption turned to a black woman

Somehow that assumption took on meaning that was probably far above Biden's actual thought process. Maybe Amy Klobuchar jumpstarted it. I don't remember.

My opinion is that 2024 needs to be extreme priority in this selection, given Biden's age. I am not a believer in 80 as the new 70 and stuff like that. Adjustments fail. They are always taken too far.

Again, those midwestern states are shifting away. It is silly to deny that. In prior years a 5 point lead nationally would have equated to 9 or 10+ in those states. Now some polls pretend those numbers but they aren't real world. Once the vote count actually begins we are going to be startled and nervous as one pivotal state after another is reporting close to deadlock. Just be prepared for that now. Otherwise we're going to have the nonsense threads just like 2016 election eve asserting Hillary's edge was actually 3 or 4 points beyond the polling.

I prefer Rice. I could understand why Biden wouldn't want to take that type of gamble, even if I think the fear is overblown.

If Biden understands those blue collar states and other swing states are more fragile than they appear, then choosing Whitmer makes a heck of a lot of strategic sense. Keep in mind the black vote is only 7% of the electorate in Wisconsin. It is a paltry 2% of the electorate in Arizona. Whites may be down to 70% of the electorate nationally but 81% in Pennsylvania. Only Michigan among those states matches or exceeds the national percentage of blacks. Whitmer locks up that state and may help elsewhere more than we realize. Florida is so complicated due to the Cuban demographic. I'm here and can't always figure it out. My 75 year old neighbor is a sweet lady but not always trusting of all blacks. I hear her make those comments all the time in regard to handymen I suggest. I have no idea how the Cubans would react to Harris or Rice or even Demings. I knew they would be in a frenzy with Bass or anyone linked to Castro.

Whitmer is now up to 16 cents on Predictit, with Harris at 43 cents and Rice 31 cents.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5883/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-vice-presidential-nomination