"Romney must win two of the three: OH, VA, FL" [View all]

[cthulu2016]

"Romney must win two of the three: OH, VA, FL"

This is the conventional wisdom that Chuck Todd keeps repeating. And it is weird.

Romney has to win Florida. Period. Winning OH and VA while losing FL wouldn't give Romney a plausible path to 270. Florida is huge. 29 electoral votes. VA has 13 and OH has 18.

If you color Florida blue then Romney would have to win Iowa, Nevada, Colorado, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, New Hampshire and Wisconsin, or Michigan or some other good-sized solidly blue state, just to reach 272.

So the "two out of three" conventional wisdom is silly. If one of those two isn't Florida it's pretty hopeless.

Try it out. If Florida is blue there's no realistic way for Romney to get there.

http://www.270towin.com/