One thing that could change this year is that if it looks as if President Obama is going

[peace frog]

4. I agree a realignment is possible, however

your statement: "who of the GOP is going to be able to run and beat a democrat, especially if Hillary runs in 2016" is a bit cocky. The Republican party is in serious disarray now, but within the next few years it could select a candidate for POTUS who has potentially broad appeal. They do exist, you know, but have kept a lower profile of late for obvious reasons. Jeb Bush is one who may fill the GOP void, much as I loathe the thought of yet another Bush in the WH. If Hillary is the Dem candidate for POTUS, it's possible the GOP would offer a credible female candidate in Susana Martinez, gov of New Mexico, for POTUS or Veep. It's not all roses simply because the Dems hold the Senate (likely) or re-take the House (unlikely). Eternal vigilance.