Arizona Stands Out From a Mostly Static Presidential Race in Battleground States [View all]

[Demsrule86]

Biden has improved his numbers during the convention and amid civil unrest. Take that 'doom and gloomers.' Biden is going to win with large numbers and we will know on election day although I predict as time passes the win will only get bigger. I have also posted what the map would look like if we truly win all the close states...it could happen people...work hard and vote!!!

https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/01/battleground-presidential-polling-post-conventions/



Despite two weeks of party conventions and amid civil unrest prompted by the police shooting of Jacob Blake in Kenosha, Wis., the state of the race between President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden stands largely unchanged from its pre-convention numbers in some of the country’s most-contested states — with the notable exception of Arizona.

While Biden was trailing the president in the Southwestern battleground by 2 percentage points in an Aug. 7-16 Morning Consult poll conducted before the Aug. 17 start of the Democratic National Convention, the former vice president has improved his margin over Trump by 12 points.

According to the Aug. 21-30 survey of 943 likely Arizona voters, which has a 3-point margin of error, Biden leads Trump, 52 percent to 42 percent, driven by a 10-point increase in support among Arizona men, statistically tying him with Trump (49 percent to 45 percent), and a 7-point increase in support with suburban Arizonans, who now favor Biden by 9 points, 51 percent to 42 percent. He also leads among women (55 percent to 40 percent) and independents (51 percent to 37 percent) in the state.


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