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PoindexterOglethorpe

(28,493 posts)
16. One huge problem with the Crash in 1929
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 01:31 PM
Sep 2020

is that an awful lot of stock had been bought on margin. People put down 10% of the stock price, and financed the other 90%, only the expectation was that the price would go up, they'd sell, and never have to pay off the loan. That isn't happening these days. I believe even those who do buy on margin need to front up 50% of the stock price, so there's not very much margin buying and the exposure to price drops simply isn't that great.

A lot of people were completely wiped out financially by the Crash and the Great Depression.

Also, throughout the '20s there was already essentially a Depression for farmers. They'd overplanted crops because during the Great War they could sell everything at good prices. The war ended, prices dropped, so they planted even more. That's also a huge contribution to the Dust Bowl. By planting even marginal land, by stripping the land of everything, once the rains stopped, it was a big mess.

The causes of the Crash and the Great Depression are many and complicated.

As long as I've been here people like to gleefully predict another Crash. They gloat over the possibility that stocks will completely crater, as if they don't have a 401k themselves. I just don't get it.

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It's bonkers Johnny2X2X Sep 2020 #1
Big question is how long the 'propping' can last. empedocles Sep 2020 #2
Nov 4th Johnny2X2X Sep 2020 #3
The S&P index at record highs is especially ludicrous and suspicious. empedocles Sep 2020 #4
+1, its not doubt a tech bubble that's going to bust on Nov 4th no matter who wins. I'm watching uponit7771 Sep 2020 #6
Please let us know how the shorts, and the short squeezers, are doing. Thanks. empedocles Sep 2020 #7
Biden wins, the Fed pulls price supports, market crashes, trump blames Biden's win SoonerPride Sep 2020 #8
I read recently that the market will probably go up PoindexterOglethorpe Sep 2020 #10
That's what the orange blob is saying too........ a kennedy Sep 2020 #12
He's already giving away the game, because he can't stop himself SoonerPride Sep 2020 #13
It makes me just sick. There's just been so much damage to EVERYTHING this piece off shit a kennedy Sep 2020 #15
THIS !!!! All the market uptick does not explain bond squeezing or retail traders. That doesn't get uponit7771 Sep 2020 #5
Don't confuse the economy with the stock market. PoindexterOglethorpe Sep 2020 #9
All that may be well enough . . . in normal times. However, it would be empedocles Sep 2020 #11
The markets have been feeling very "bubbly" for a while now... Wounded Bear Sep 2020 #14
One huge problem with the Crash in 1929 PoindexterOglethorpe Sep 2020 #16
You are probably familiar with long term stock market charts. They are full of considerable empedocles Sep 2020 #17
I am not saying we have permanent prosperity. PoindexterOglethorpe Sep 2020 #19
We aren't shackled by a gold standard like 1929 to 1933. roamer65 Sep 2020 #18
I am far superior at identifying the bottom than the top Awsi Dooger Sep 2020 #20
Imagine the shocks, the investment pro's in the OP headline, are having, when their empedocles Sep 2020 #21
I've spent a lot of time looking at those models Awsi Dooger Sep 2020 #25
This message was self-deleted by its author empedocles Sep 2020 #22
This whole thing is going to pop like the worst kind of pimple budkin Sep 2020 #23
Hope it doesn't 'pop' all at once. [Martial law threats, etc] empedocles Sep 2020 #24
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