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Johnny2X2X

(19,060 posts)

12. Gary Johnson and Jill Stein

Reply to still_one (Reply #8)

Tue Sep 22, 2020, 09:55 AM

Sep 2020

3rd party candidates were a huge factor on the results and were also why Clinton's lead was not real.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/national-polls/

On September 26th 2016 (You have to use the 26th because the election in 2016 was 5 days later than this year) Hillary was up 1.4 points, but Gary Johnson was still polling above 7 points when he would only get 3 on election day, those 4 points went to Trump almost exclusively. So Trump was very concretely leading at this time in 2016, perhaps by as much as 2 points.

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Curious.....what were Hillary's poll numbers at this time in 2016????? [View all] a kennedy Sep 2020 OP

Similar to Joe's, but polls do not matter. Yavin4 Sep 2020 #1

Not similar to Joes's ...his are higher and he is abouve 50%. Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #9

No but you could look it up. She never broke 50% ...and it has been posted here Demsrule86 Sep 2020 #2

RCP had HRC +1.6 at this point in 2016; They have Joe at +6.5 Fiendish Thingy Sep 2020 #3

Thanks, exactly what I was hoping for...... a kennedy Sep 2020 #5

I think it's quite different DonaldsRump Sep 2020 #4

Google it! nt USALiberal Sep 2020 #6

Hillary never had numbers similar to Bidens especially at this point beachbumbob Sep 2020 #7

Biden's are better. There are too many people who want to compare 2016 with today, and they still_one Sep 2020 #8

You're right of course, just anxious to have the election done with and it be a huge a kennedy Sep 2020 #10

We are all on the same page, and with the same anxious feelings still_one Sep 2020 #11

Gary Johnson and Jill Stein Johnny2X2X Sep 2020 #12