General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: What happens if Mcconnell and Graham win and we lose Doug Jones How do we wing the Senate? [View all]Celerity
(44,589 posts)2020. This counts all remotely possible ones.
CO
AZ
ME
NC
IA
SC
GA Regular
GA Special
KS
AK
MT
real stretches
KY
TX
TN - the 14th is probably a lost cause without Tim McGraw (he has turned down TWO chances at open seats, 2018 and now 2020, after promising for ages he would run for Senate when he was 50, and he is 53 now, grrrr, he is my number one disappointment in 2020 for Dem Senator turn-downs)
the only one we will lose in 2020 is AL with Jones
in 2022
only 4 Dems seats remotely in play although it could be 5 (GA special if Warnock pulls it off)
Colorado Michael Bennet
Nevada Catherine Cortez Masto
New Hampshire Maggie Hassan
Arizona Kelly (assuming he wins in 2020)
Vulnerable Rethugs in 2022 are less than 2020
Florida Marco Rubio
North Carolina (open seat, Burr is retiring)
Iowa Chuck Grassley (if he runs again, he will be 90 years old 9 and half months into his next term, and if not, its an open seat)
Pennsylvania Pat Toomey
Wisconsin Ron Johnson
Kentucky Rand Paul (a bit of a stretch, even though he, like McConnel, is a rat bastard)
MO and IN are lost causes I fear
so 5 or 6 (if you count the stretch Paul) chances to flip
plus GA special, if we lose it in 2020
lets call it 6 real chances (assuming Paul wins and we lose GA special in 2020)
versus the 13 (2 are big stretches) we have shots at in 2020
plus if Biden wins POTUS, the Rethugs are going to be crazy fired up, especially if we take back the Senate by 51-49, or 52-48 in 2020
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