Last edited Fri Oct 9, 2020, 10:45 PM - Edit history (1)
I really do. The whole, "he's an outsider who's going to roll into Washington and shake things up, and do things a different way, and it's going to be so refreshing and new," thing can be very appealing. It was to me. I didn't vote for Trump (I saw through his line of bullshit early on), but it's a major reason why I supported Bernie in 2016. Don't worry, I wasn't a "Bernie Bro" who got my feelings hurt and then voted for Trump out of spite.
All I'm saying is the appeal of somebody who promises to come in and do things a different way is a real thing. I honestly get it. The thing is, the entire country has seen for 4 years that he's NOT that guy. So he's going to lose all those people who voted for him because they were hoping he'd "drain the swamp." So all those, "let's give this NEW guy a shot and see what he can do" voters are gone this time around.
That's a major reason why I believe 2020 is going to be vastly different from 2016. That, and the fact that there is a huge segment of the population who just didn't vote in 2016 because they "didn't like either of them," who are all super-motivated to get out and vote for Biden this time around. I have at least 3 of these people in my own family, and I'm willing to bet every person on this board knows at least one person like that. That's a huge swing of voters right there. And we're talking about a guy who lost by 3 million votes LAST time, with all those advantages he had in 2016.
I think he gets his clock cleaned. In a way that leaves NO doubt, and NO room for legal challenges. I bet he loses the popular vote by 10 million votes this time around. And in my very conservative estimate of the Electoral vote (based on my almost obsessive poll-watching State-by-State), I have Biden with 353 electoral votes.
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