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Tommy_Carcetti

(44,508 posts)

29. "(T)he same chance as flipping a coin and having it come up heads 3 times in a row"

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #10)

Mon Oct 12, 2020, 10:47 AM

Oct 2020

Sorry, I just saw this movie (at long last) and your quote reminded me of this scene.

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Trump is down to 13 on Fivethirtyeight [View all] Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 OP

Ugh, there's a tie scenario. unblock Oct 2020 #1

The tie scenario is irrelevant. TwilightZone Oct 2020 #4

And FL is key for the asshole. FL loss means game over for it. Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 #7

I'm not complacent by any means, but I just don't see a path to victory in Florida for him. Pacifist Patriot Oct 2020 #16

The panhandle is certified stupid NorthOf270 Oct 2020 #24

I just don't see the Panhandle having the population to overcome the peninsula. Tommy_Carcetti Oct 2020 #28

I agree with you. Pacifist Patriot Oct 2020 #31

So you're saying the Democrats are too incompetent to pick Electors who will stick with Biden? brooklynite Oct 2020 #6

Your faith that zero out of 269 electors would crack unblock Oct 2020 #9

Almost every state has laws against that. nt Codeine Oct 2020 #14

And yet there are faithless electors nearly every 4 years unblock Oct 2020 #21

still has 43.6% approval and 53.2 % disapproval mucifer Oct 2020 #2

Loud and boorish ones too Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 #5

if I never see another post about 538's odds it won;t be soon enough beachbumbob Oct 2020 #3

Agree Inablueway Oct 2020 #8

They can't be "wrong " zipplewrath Oct 2020 #11

Agreed! ProfessorGAC Oct 2020 #30

It's the nature of probability zipplewrath Oct 2020 #32

I've Used Monte Carlo ProfessorGAC Oct 2020 #33

They had many uses zipplewrath Oct 2020 #34

Tough luck, it is good news! Maybe take a break! nt USALiberal Oct 2020 #15

So ignore it then. BannonsLiver Oct 2020 #25

The clock is running out Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #10

You are correct, the models don't account for early voting. whopis01 Oct 2020 #19

"(T)he same chance as flipping a coin and having it come up heads 3 times in a row" Tommy_Carcetti Oct 2020 #29

At this point even with a 2016 polling error Jamesyu Oct 2020 #12

Yep. And Georgia, Maine 2, and Iowa within 1% and moving toward Biden. yellowcanine Oct 2020 #13

On 10/17/2016 Fivethirtyeight had Trump at 12 and Clinton at 88 whopis01 Oct 2020 #17

anything more that 0% is way too much Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 #18

Agreed n/t whopis01 Oct 2020 #20

Agree. Any chance at all is terrifying. n/t Chemisse Oct 2020 #22

I think the key is momentum. One side has momentum, and if that keeps up, Trump's chances become Doodley Oct 2020 #23

538 Poll average is now Biden +10.6!!! Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #26

you mean beautiful? Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 #27