General Discussion

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

6. I've been rooting for the non-affiliated numbers

Sun Oct 18, 2020, 08:27 PM

Oct 2020

Those are likely Democratic votes, as mentioned in the OP. Therefore it's important to get that return rate and turnout as high as possible. It's going to be a net gain.

I have seen very little discussion about the non-affiliated numbers. The one that pleases me so far is that non-affiliated return rate in Pennsylvania so far is higher than the Republican return rate.

Not many states track the percentage of new voters. North Carolina does. It is 22.3% so far, but not broken down by party.

There are some who are pretending that everything has to be glowing cheerleader mode. Sorry, that's not the real world and it does a disservice. The two aspects that need to improve are Hispanic participation and young voter participation. Michael McDonald writes weekly summary analysis of the early vote on this site. So far the October 18 update is not there:

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

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Early Voting Bombshell Results [View all] grantcart Oct 2020 OP

Thanks For Sorting That Out, Sir The Magistrate Oct 2020 #1

poles cf Poles kiri Oct 2020 #24

Oh, Mitchell drives me crazy and I'm not diabetic, so I think it's her! Laffy Kat Oct 2020 #2

She always seem to be upset when repukes are being attacked and want to defend them kimbutgar Oct 2020 #9

She acts as if she's a repuke herself by her reactions ailsagirl Oct 2020 #40

Republicans WILL show up in force. Trust me, I'm from FL and it happens all the time! KEEP VOTING! OrlandoDem2 Oct 2020 #3

So Seniors DownriverDem Oct 2020 #54

Mrs. Greenspan is still here? central scrutinizer Oct 2020 #4

She was born on October 30 which is known as Devil's night. tavernier Oct 2020 #35

Love that saying-- most relevant here!! ailsagirl Oct 2020 #41

Like Biden said in NC today, "How many chairs were empty at the dining room table last night?" Budi Oct 2020 #5

I've been rooting for the non-affiliated numbers Awsi Dooger Oct 2020 #6

Kick dalton99a Oct 2020 #7

type 1 here, and right there w ya. mopinko Oct 2020 #8

I bet there will be a record turnout Mr.Bill Oct 2020 #10

Good solid numbers! BannonsLiver Oct 2020 #11

Excellent extrapolation, and please tell Republicans they don't have to vote because bucolic_frolic Oct 2020 #12

Here is a Link for the Site Many Reporters and Others are Using for Early Vote Data Indykatie Oct 2020 #13

COVID in Texas kansasobama Oct 2020 #16

Just means the suppression is working there. Tommymac Oct 2020 #17

I think there are more than one polling places in Harris county, but... Trueblue Texan Oct 2020 #19

That's false. LisaL Oct 2020 #26

8th generation Texan here.... if they try to keep Texans from voting, it will only make Texans BComplex Oct 2020 #49

Texas doesn't actually report early votes by party registration Chasing Dreams Oct 2020 #20

I Hope It Is Bad Modelling - Even So the Gap Is Much Bigger Than I expected n/t Indykatie Oct 2020 #27

Tks grantcart Oct 2020 #23

Is this even legit? vercetti2021 Oct 2020 #33

Remember the Stories About the GOP Registering So Many More New Voters then Dems in PA? Indykatie Oct 2020 #14

Enthusiasm is off the charts on our side Dopers_Greed Oct 2020 #15

I don't see enough in Michigan kansasobama Oct 2020 #18

Not sure what data you're looking at. Enthusiasm here is high. catbyte Oct 2020 #34

P.S. WE don't have early voting here in Michigan. catbyte Oct 2020 #36

+1, same here in MO; there's no early in person voting and I don't trust my vote to poll watchers uponit7771 Oct 2020 #47

+1 uponit7771 Oct 2020 #46

My mom and I voted today. Rizen Oct 2020 #21

I have a special disgust for Andrea Mitchell... Upthevibe Oct 2020 #22

+1 uponit7771 Oct 2020 #48

I guess she thought that people have been standing Rice4VP Oct 2020 #25

K and R panader0 Oct 2020 #28

This is very encouraging. NoRoadUntravelled Oct 2020 #29

In light of having to tolerate McConnell's actions and Twitler's non-mandate... SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2020 #30

Between 15 and 20 percent of the Democratic vote are voters that did not vote in '16 hellno45 Oct 2020 #31

Some were not 18 grantcart Oct 2020 #38

Thank you for all that. PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2020 #32

Thanks! Baked Potato Oct 2020 #37

"Cannibalizing the election day votes"??? Retrograde Oct 2020 #39

I don't like this term either. LisaL Oct 2020 #42

The turd is going to use election day votes to declare his win. not_the_one Oct 2020 #43

That's not what she meant. LisaL Oct 2020 #44

it simply means not to get excited about an increase in early voting if it doesn't grantcart Oct 2020 #45

"six times as many African American voters have voted early this year " lindysalsagal Oct 2020 #50

Agreed padah513 Oct 2020 #51

My entire family has voted and all of us went straight blue. PatrickforO Oct 2020 #52

TY for the report, grant! andrea mitchell Cha Oct 2020 #53

Nearly everyone I know has already voted for Joe and Kamala. warmfeet Oct 2020 #55