General Discussion

PTWB

(4,131 posts)

27. You cherry picked an article that didn't include that quote.

Mon Oct 19, 2020, 11:39 AM

Oct 2020

The 'neck and neck' quote is from the SAME MEMO in which Jen O'Malley Dillon (Joe's campaign manager) says that in critical states the race is "functionally tied." Further, saying 'neck and neck' doesn't mean 'tied' is semantics.

'We also know that even the best polling can be wrong, and that variables like turnout mean that in a number of critical states we are functionally tied — and that we need to campaign like we’re trailing.'

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/521550-biden-camp-warns-supporters-not-to-get-complacent-campaign-like-were

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/joe-bidens-campaign-manager-says-polls-favoring-him-are-inflated/ar-BB1a83s9?li=BBnbfcL

https://www.forbes.com/sites/andrewsolender/2020/10/17/biden-campaign-warns-donors-race-far-closer-than-coverage-suggests/#2472b973d639

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Highlight:

IBD/TIPP Shows Much Tighter Race [View all] Inablueway Oct 2020 OP

There sampling is problematic edhopper Oct 2020 #1

Sure... Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #2

Joe's campaign manager has been sounding the alarm. PTWB Oct 2020 #22

No she hasn't...she just wants to avoid complacency...right wing BS with bad sampling. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #29

Yes she has. PTWB Oct 2020 #32

I don't believe it...may need money. And today she said they were ahead. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #36

You think she was lying? PTWB Oct 2020 #38

Polls exist on a continuum. Average them. Loki Liesmith Oct 2020 #3

Probably the same point that Joe's campaign manager has been making. PTWB Oct 2020 #23

Yeah she didn't actually say that Loki Liesmith Oct 2020 #25

You cherry picked an article that didn't include that quote. PTWB Oct 2020 #27

The concern is strong in this one... Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #30

So much concern.... Jamesyu Oct 2020 #4

THIS. EXACTLY. I think the media does this every year to show a tight race for ratings. Vivienne235729 Oct 2020 #28

It's consistent with Biden's 8-point average lead. RandySF Oct 2020 #5

They also had Trump winning the popular vote by 2% in 2016 Eid Ma Clack Shaw Oct 2020 #6

Welcome to DU greenjar_01 Oct 2020 #7

Look at an average of the polls..However, national polls don't matter at this point. Nt helpisontheway Oct 2020 #8

BULLSHIT POLL!!!!! ElementaryPenguin Oct 2020 #9

pay no attention to polls or 538, its about GOTV now beachbumbob Oct 2020 #10

A/B rated pollster Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #11

Also I think the 538 poll rankings are more about repeatability not absolute accuracy Amishman Oct 2020 #19

Accuracy is a major factor in 538's rankings. Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #20

Investors Business Daily... orwell Oct 2020 #12

+10000 Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #37

Outliers gonna outlie Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #13

so, you're saying Biden's floor is a 5-point victory? or is your concern deeper?? PubliusEnigma Oct 2020 #14

Sounds alright. David__77 Oct 2020 #15

There are always outliers Progressive dog Oct 2020 #16

And? Happy Hoosier Oct 2020 #17

The good news is 5% is a pretty large win. Statistical Oct 2020 #18

The Investors Business Daily has a pro-GOP bias My Pet Orangutan Oct 2020 #21

IBD/TIPP has been between +5 and +7 for a long time... regnaD kciN Oct 2020 #24

20 polls show a steady lead, but lets find 1 to chicken out about. linda52 Oct 2020 #26

How do you feel about Joe's campaign manager? PTWB Oct 2020 #33

Motivational...stay focused...maybe needs more money. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #39

Motivational...stay focused...maybe needs more money. Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #40

No Recs. GeorgeGist Oct 2020 #31

I don't rec often. PTWB Oct 2020 #34

That's probably what it will be on election day Azathoth Oct 2020 #35

Nope... Demsrule86 Oct 2020 #41

This message was self-deleted by its author DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2020 #42

Thank you for your input. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2020 #43