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FakeNoose

(41,010 posts)

9. Ha - this is a cool map

Reply to Statistical (Original post)

Wed Oct 21, 2020, 08:50 AM

Oct 2020

They're saying Ohio is 50/50 right now.

But if I project that Ohio goes for Chump, Biden still wins the election by a slimmer margin. If Ohio goes for Biden, it's a landslide and Chump has almost no chance in winning.

It's pretty much the same for any state that's 50/50 or very nearly. Once that state goes for Biden, Chump's chances are hopeless.

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538 has an interactive model now. Some interesting PA & FL stats [View all] Statistical Oct 2020 OP

Yes, we have 29 electoral votes in FL so it is a biggie, FM123 Oct 2020 #1

Texas is MOE/tied in most.polls JCMach1 Oct 2020 #7

It would be absolutely thrilling if Joe won Texas! FM123 Oct 2020 #10

The prospect of a blue Texas would be the end of the GOP JCMach1 Oct 2020 #13

It is interesting that they have given Biden better odds in Florida than Arizona. idziak4ever1234 Oct 2020 #2

neat! Amishman Oct 2020 #3

Intresting that the model places a higher value on PA than FL... brooklynite Oct 2020 #4

2016 +AZ, +MI, +WI, equals EC 276 My Pet Orangutan Oct 2020 #5

One of the dangers in 2016 was people treating states like a coin flip. They aren't. Statistical Oct 2020 #8

Got it. Thank you. My Pet Orangutan Oct 2020 #11

Thanks! Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #6

Ha - this is a cool map FakeNoose Oct 2020 #9

Message auto-removed Name removed Oct 2020 #12