Nate Silver seems to be saying the writing is on the wall at this point

[Celerity]

53. I just did a quick DU search to see if I could find an OP on a long-forgotten double-whammy

that hit around the same time (actually before) as Comey.

The ACA rate increases (which were rather huge for many people) were partially leaked early on Friday, October 21st, 2016 (and gathered more attention over the weekend and then Monday, Tuesday, etc), and hit the news cycle hard a few days later, before the Comey bullshit hit on the 28th. There were some snap polls that already showed a deleterious movement in the margin for Clinton, within a day or 2 or 3 from the leak, then confirmed after the official announcement. It got lost (the significance as the actual true beginning of slippage) in the typhoon of the Comey shit, but it was the tip of the spear in terms of the of the negative poll movement kicking in. Trump was banging on it like crazy (and then obviously switched to the fucking email bollocks when that hit).


This old OP doesn't talk about polls, but does show that the premium increases were deffo a 'not good thing' back then, a problem to address (and at a terrible time) and verifies it was already in play before Comey landed the 2nd part of the double whammy.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/10028251888



btw

I have NO idea why the Obama administration did not schedule the entire process (especially date) for rate changes and thus announcements for AFTER the damn election. Surely they could have looked with a futured-forward glance months, if not a full year before the election and saw a possible major negative inflection point. Odds were almost 100% that there would be dramatic increases.