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Alhena

(3,076 posts)

34. If we win PA, MI and WI, we just need to hold Hillary's states- don't need AZ or NC - link

Reply to NewsCenter28 (Reply #25)

Sun Nov 1, 2020, 12:50 AM

Nov 2020

Joe Biden’s path to 270 electoral votes seems pretty straightforward: Hold all 20 states (plus the District of Columbia) that Hillary Clinton carried four years ago, which total 232 electoral votes, just 38 short of the majority threshold of 270. Then win each of the three states that Clinton lost by eight-tenths of a point or less: Michigan (0.2 percentage points) Pennsylvania (0.7), and Wisconsin (0.8). That gives him 278 electoral votes, eight more than needed.

https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/711037?unlock=SRT6SBVCJHPBFJTS

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ABC News Poll: Florida is Trump +2, Pennsylvania is Biden +7 [View all] Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 OP

That's nothing to panic about. +7 in PA is good. nt cry baby Nov 2020 #1

Not at all. I'd rather Biden be up 7 in PA and down two in FL than up two in FL and down 7 in PA. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #3

...or up 2 in PA and down 7 in FL. regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #18

It's been a long day waiting for new poll numbers. cry baby Nov 2020 #19

The 538 poll average has FL as Biden +2 VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #2

That's why we want it so bad.... Sogo Nov 2020 #9

Partly because they should have the results near-complete by midnightl... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #16

Good points! Sogo Nov 2020 #22

Winning either state puts Biden in outstanding shape nt coti Nov 2020 #4

I'm actually relieved after the report earlier saying this poll was bad for us Alhena Nov 2020 #5

I was thinking it'd show Biden up 3 in PA and down in Florida by 4 or something. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #7

Same Alhena Nov 2020 #12

Yeah. It is not as bad a poll as hinted. Claustrum Nov 2020 #13

There was no report. Some guy was tweeting. LisaL Nov 2020 #15

The 538 poll average for PA is Biden +4.7 VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #6

And that +4.7 was BEFORE this new poll... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #11

Probably a good business to go into to counter the supposedly "leftist propaganda polls" Claustrum Nov 2020 #17

538 also includes polls with poor methodology like trafalgar, Rasmussen and Emerson Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #21

This is true but ... VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #27

...and I think The Economist can, at times, be a bit too restrictive in what it accepts. regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #30

Good Proud Liberal Dem Nov 2020 #8

Biden improved in Florida since their last poll Wanderlust988 Nov 2020 #10

Good PA result. David__77 Nov 2020 #14

One concern Politicalgolfer Nov 2020 #20

Well, it's bad news for republicans mostly because they are the ones planning to vote on Election LisaL Nov 2020 #23

Excellent results NewsCenter28 Nov 2020 #25

I think for AZ, we need WI, MI and (NE2 or ME2) to reach 270. Claustrum Nov 2020 #29

If we win PA, MI and WI, we just need to hold Hillary's states- don't need AZ or NC - link Alhena Nov 2020 #34

That's because PA didn't have early voting before so their voters are used to election day voting. Claustrum Nov 2020 #28

PA is looking very good WSHazel Nov 2020 #24

Mail issues in Miami is greatly exaggerated. LisaL Nov 2020 #26

That's from the one post office we KNOW of... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #32

I'm finished with Florida. Supposedly, the AA turnout is low down there too..Not helpisontheway Nov 2020 #31

According to one of the polling analysts... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #33